Vegetation Phenology
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Annual variations in the timing of snow melt and green-up influence the availability and quality of habitats for wildlife, especially grazing animals such as caribou and geese that are critically invested in reproduction during June. Concerns arise about the potential for climate warming to cause ecological mismatches if animals are unable to adjust their migration and reproductive schedules to keep pace with changes in the peak availability of food resources. These and related topics of research are part of the USGS Changing Arctic Ecosystems Initiative.

Key Findings
The timing of vegetation green-up in the Arctic, coupled with the timing of reproduction, is correlated with the survival of caribou calves and goose goslings.
Brook, R. W., J. O. Leafloor, K. F. Abraham, and D. C. Douglas. 2015. Density dependence and phenological mismatch: consequences for growth and survival of sub-arctic nesting Canada Geese. Avian Conservation and Ecology 10(1):1. doi:10.5751/ACE-00708-100101
Stone, R. S., D. C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, and S. D. Drobot. 2005a. Polar Climate: Arctic sea ice. Pages 39-41 in D. H. Levinson, (ed.). State of the Climate in 2004. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society [Full Publication]
Stone, R. S., D. C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, and S. D. Drobot. 2005b. Correlated declines in Pacific arctic snow and sea ice cover. Arctic Research of the United States 19(1):18-25. [Full Publication]
Griffith, B., D. C. Douglas, N. E. Walsh, D. D. Young, Jr., T. R. McCabe, D. E. Russell, R. G. White, R. D. Cameron, and K. R. Whitten. 2002. The Porcupine caribou herd. Pages 8-37 in D. C. Douglas, P. E. Reynolds, and E. B. Rhode, (eds.). Arctic Refuge coastal plain terrestrial wildlife research summaries. USGS Biological Science Report USGS/BRD/BSR-2002-0001 [Full Publication]
Below are other science projects associated with this project.
Habitat Dynamics
Wind - Habitat Dynamics
Sea Ice - Habitat Dynamics
Below are publications associated with this project.
Density dependence and phenological mismatch: consequences for growth and survival of sub-arctic nesting Canada Geese
Correlated declines in Pacific arctic snow and sea ice cover
Polar climate: Arctic sea ice
The porcupine caribou herd
- Overview
Vegetation Phenology
Return to Ecosystems >> Marine Ecosystems or Terrestrial Ecosystems >> Habitat Dynamics
Sources/Usage: Public Domain. Visit Media to see details.Vegetation greenness, snow cover, and sea ice distribution in early June varies widely across the Arctic, and between years. In the high northern latitudes, snow melt and vegetation green-up typically occur in late May and early June, however, as illustrated in the animation, spring sometimes arrives much earlier than average, and sometimes much later. Sea ice extent during early June is also shown with color-shades to indicate when the surface began to melt: white=still frozen, cyan=melt beginning, and lavender=melt started prior to June 1.(Credit: David Douglas, USGS. Public domain.) Annual variations in the timing of snow melt and green-up influence the availability and quality of habitats for wildlife, especially grazing animals such as caribou and geese that are critically invested in reproduction during June. Concerns arise about the potential for climate warming to cause ecological mismatches if animals are unable to adjust their migration and reproductive schedules to keep pace with changes in the peak availability of food resources. These and related topics of research are part of the USGS Changing Arctic Ecosystems Initiative.
Sources/Usage: Public Domain. Visit Media to see details.Atmospheric circulation patterns strongly influence the timing of snow melt and vegetation green-up. At Barrow/Utqiaġvik, Alaska, years with late snow melt are associated with a blocking high-pressure system over the Arctic basin and low-pressure over the eastern Bering Sea which tends to block the flow (transport) of warm southerly air into the higher latitudes (left panel, below). In contrast, years with early snow melt are associated with a low-pressure system over the western Bering Sea and a high-pressure ridge over eastern Alaska which tends to facilitate the northerly transport (flow) of warm southerly air (right panel). Source of this figure is: Stone, R. S., D. C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, and S. D. Drobot. 2005. Polar Climate: Arctic sea ice. Pages 39-41 in D. H. Levinson, (ed.). State of the Climate in 2004. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86(6), 86 p. doi:10.1175/1520-0477-86.6s.1 (Public domain.) Key Findings
The timing of vegetation green-up in the Arctic, coupled with the timing of reproduction, is correlated with the survival of caribou calves and goose goslings.
Brook, R. W., J. O. Leafloor, K. F. Abraham, and D. C. Douglas. 2015. Density dependence and phenological mismatch: consequences for growth and survival of sub-arctic nesting Canada Geese. Avian Conservation and Ecology 10(1):1. doi:10.5751/ACE-00708-100101
Stone, R. S., D. C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, and S. D. Drobot. 2005a. Polar Climate: Arctic sea ice. Pages 39-41 in D. H. Levinson, (ed.). State of the Climate in 2004. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society [Full Publication]
Stone, R. S., D. C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, and S. D. Drobot. 2005b. Correlated declines in Pacific arctic snow and sea ice cover. Arctic Research of the United States 19(1):18-25. [Full Publication]
Griffith, B., D. C. Douglas, N. E. Walsh, D. D. Young, Jr., T. R. McCabe, D. E. Russell, R. G. White, R. D. Cameron, and K. R. Whitten. 2002. The Porcupine caribou herd. Pages 8-37 in D. C. Douglas, P. E. Reynolds, and E. B. Rhode, (eds.). Arctic Refuge coastal plain terrestrial wildlife research summaries. USGS Biological Science Report USGS/BRD/BSR-2002-0001 [Full Publication]
- Science
Below are other science projects associated with this project.
Habitat Dynamics
The Habitat Dynamics Project examines how short and long-term changes in the environment affect the distribution and survival of wildlife populations.Wind - Habitat Dynamics
Several species of shorebird that nest in the Arctic make remarkable non-stop trans-oceanic migrations to non-breeding areas in the southern hemisphere. Scientists at the USGS Alaska Science Center have discovered many fascinating and previously unknown details about these long-distance migrations by instrumenting individual birds with Argos satellite transmitters (see ASC Shorebird Research web...Sea Ice - Habitat Dynamics
Sea Ice Present, Future and Ice Loss and Wildlife - Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
Density dependence and phenological mismatch: consequences for growth and survival of sub-arctic nesting Canada Geese
The extent to which species are plastic in the timing of their reproductive events relative to phenology suggests how change might affect their demography. An ecological mismatch between the timing of hatch for avian species and the peak availability in quality and quantity of forage for rapidly growing offspring might ultimately affect recruitment to the breeding population unless individuals canAuthorsRodney W. Brook, James O. Leafloor, David C. Douglas, Kenneth F. AbrahamCorrelated declines in Pacific arctic snow and sea ice cover
Simulations of future climate suggest that global warming will reduce Arctic snow and ice cover, resulting in decreased surface albedo (reflectivity). Lowering of the surface albedo leads to further warming by increasing solar absorption at the surface. This phenomenon is referred to as “temperature–albedo feedback.” Anticipation of such a feedback is one reason why scientists look to the Arctic fAuthorsRobert P. Stone, David C. Douglas, Gennady I. Belchansky, Sheldon DrobotPolar climate: Arctic sea ice
Recent decreases in snow and sea ice cover in the high northern latitudes are among the most notable indicators of climate change. Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent for the year as a whole was the third lowest on record dating back to 1973, behind 1995 (lowest) and 1990 (second lowest; Hadley Center–NCEP). September sea ice extent, which is at the end of the summer melt season and is typically thAuthorsR. S. Stone, David C. Douglas, G. I. Belchansky, S. D. DrobotThe porcupine caribou herd
Documentation of the natural range of variation in ecological, life history, and physiological characteristics of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) of the Porcupine caribou herd is a necessary base for detecting or predicting any potential effects of industrial development on the performance (e.g., distribution, demography, weight-gain of individuals) of the herd. To demonstrate an effect of developmentAuthorsBrad Griffith, David C. Douglas, Noreen E. Walsh, Donald D. Young, Thomas R. McCabe, Donald E. Russell, Robert G. White, Raymond D. Cameron, Kenneth R. Whitten