The HayWired scenario examines a hypothetical earthquake (mainshock) with a moment magnitude of 7.0 occurring on April 18, 2018, at 4:18 p.m. on the Hayward Fault in the east bay part of California’s San Francisco Bay area. Most economic, cultural, and personal elements of society have grown entwined with the Internet since the last time California experienced a large urban earthquake. What will happen to an Internet-dependent society when a large earthquake occurs? How do tangible lifelines—roads, power, water, communication, etc.—interact in damage and restoration, and how do they interact with the online world of commerce, social media, and news? How will aftershocks affect recovery? To answer these questions, the HayWired earthquake scenario builds on past studies of a Hayward Fault earthquake and previous scenario development procedures to advance risk analysis and inform disaster planning (preparedness, response, and recovery).
The HayWired scenario was rolled-out with critical infrastructure partners in Fremont and at media event and Lawson lecture in the Berkeley Stadium on April 18, 2018.
Other sources for HayWired info:
https://www.facebook.com/USGSNaturalHazards/
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Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication contributions
For The HayWired earthquake scenario, Anne Wein of WGSC is an editor of the three volumns of the HayWire scenario.: Hazards, Engineering implications, and Societal Consquences. WGSC scientists have been instrumental in spatial analyses have a co-authored many chapters in these volumes including chapters about ground shaking (fig.1) , fault rupture, liquefaction, and aftershock hazards, customized Hazus assessment of building damages, exposure of lifeline infrastructureto hazards and servicer restoration. bebefits of earthquake earthquake early warning, communities at risk, and economic cansequences.
WGSC has co-led workshops about aftershock forecasts for critical infrastructure and emergency management, the HayWired scenatio and informatuion and communication technology. and business impacts and economic consequences.
As illustrated in fig. 2, the HayWired scenario is an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the effects of a powerful earthquake on a densely populated metropolitan region—California’s San Francisco Bay region. This scientifically realistic scenario builds on innovative earthquake science to examine engineering-related impacts to buildings and lifelines (utilities, communication lines, and roads), as well social and economic consequences. The insights gained from the scenario support the development of public policy that improves earthquake preparedness and emergency response not only in the bay region but also in other
Below are volumes and chapters coauthored by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists.
HayWired - Engineering implications
Below are HayWired publications coauthored by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists.
The HayWired earthquake scenario—We can outsmart disaster
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Engineering implications
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Societal consequences
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences is the third volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and a
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Earthquake hazards
Below are news stories associated with this project.
Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award
Congratulations to Dr. Anne Wein, Operations Research Analyst at WGSC, who received a 2019 Bay Area Metro Award from the Association of Bay Area Governments and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission for her work as lead researcher for the HayWired earthquake scenario.
Below are partners associated with this project.
- Overview
The HayWired scenario examines a hypothetical earthquake (mainshock) with a moment magnitude of 7.0 occurring on April 18, 2018, at 4:18 p.m. on the Hayward Fault in the east bay part of California’s San Francisco Bay area. Most economic, cultural, and personal elements of society have grown entwined with the Internet since the last time California experienced a large urban earthquake. What will happen to an Internet-dependent society when a large earthquake occurs? How do tangible lifelines—roads, power, water, communication, etc.—interact in damage and restoration, and how do they interact with the online world of commerce, social media, and news? How will aftershocks affect recovery? To answer these questions, the HayWired earthquake scenario builds on past studies of a Hayward Fault earthquake and previous scenario development procedures to advance risk analysis and inform disaster planning (preparedness, response, and recovery).
The HayWired scenario was rolled-out with critical infrastructure partners in Fremont and at media event and Lawson lecture in the Berkeley Stadium on April 18, 2018.
Other sources for HayWired info:
https://www.facebook.com/USGSNaturalHazards/
________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication contributions
Figure 1. ShakeMap showing intensity of shaking for the HayWired Scenario. SeeM 7.1 Scenario Earthquake - Haywired M7.05 Scenario (usgs.gov) For The HayWired earthquake scenario, Anne Wein of WGSC is an editor of the three volumns of the HayWire scenario.: Hazards, Engineering implications, and Societal Consquences. WGSC scientists have been instrumental in spatial analyses have a co-authored many chapters in these volumes including chapters about ground shaking (fig.1) , fault rupture, liquefaction, and aftershock hazards, customized Hazus assessment of building damages, exposure of lifeline infrastructureto hazards and servicer restoration. bebefits of earthquake earthquake early warning, communities at risk, and economic cansequences.
WGSC has co-led workshops about aftershock forecasts for critical infrastructure and emergency management, the HayWired scenatio and informatuion and communication technology. and business impacts and economic consequences.
Figure 2. House Diagram of all the parts to HayWired (Public domain.) As illustrated in fig. 2, the HayWired scenario is an interdisciplinary approach to understanding the effects of a powerful earthquake on a densely populated metropolitan region—California’s San Francisco Bay region. This scientifically realistic scenario builds on innovative earthquake science to examine engineering-related impacts to buildings and lifelines (utilities, communication lines, and roads), as well social and economic consequences. The insights gained from the scenario support the development of public policy that improves earthquake preparedness and emergency response not only in the bay region but also in other
- Science
Below are volumes and chapters coauthored by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists.
HayWired - Engineering implications
Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists coauthored several chapters in the Earthquake hazards volume of the HayWired earthquake scenario. - Publications
Below are HayWired publications coauthored by Hazards Societal Consequences and Risk Communication scientists.
The HayWired earthquake scenario—We can outsmart disaster
The HayWired earthquake scenario, led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), anticipates the impacts of a hypothetical magnitude-7.0 earthquake on the Hayward Fault. The fault is along the east side of California’s San Francisco Bay and is among the most active and dangerous in the United States, because it runs through a densely urbanized and interconnected region. One way to learn about a large eAuthorsKenneth W. Hudnut, Anne M. Wein, Dale A. Cox, Keith A. Porter, Laurie A. Johnson, Suzanne C. Perry, Jennifer L. Bruce, Drew LaPointeThe HayWired earthquake scenario—Engineering implications
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Engineering Implications is the second volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during aThe HayWired earthquake scenario—Societal consequences
The HayWired Earthquake Scenario—Societal Consequences is the third volume of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Scientific Investigations Report 2017–5013, which describes the HayWired scenario, developed by USGS and its partners. The scenario is a hypothetical yet scientifically realistic earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and a
The HayWired earthquake scenario—Earthquake hazards
The HayWired scenario is a hypothetical earthquake sequence that is being used to better understand hazards for the San Francisco Bay region during and after an earthquake of magnitude 7 on the Hayward Fault. The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities calculated that there is a 33-percent likelihood of a large (magnitude 6.7 or greater) earthquake occurring on the Hayward Fault - News
Below are news stories associated with this project.
Anne Wein Wins Prestigious 2019 Bay Area Metro Award
Congratulations to Dr. Anne Wein, Operations Research Analyst at WGSC, who received a 2019 Bay Area Metro Award from the Association of Bay Area Governments and the Metropolitan Transportation Commission for her work as lead researcher for the HayWired earthquake scenario.
- Partners
Below are partners associated with this project.