Earthquake Resources

Selected Publications

• • June 13, 2016

    Earthquake outlook for the San Francisco Bay region 2014–2043

    Using information from recent earthquakes, improved mapping of active faults, and a new model for estimating earthquake probabilities, the 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities updated the 30-year earthquake forecast for California. They concluded that there is a 72 percent probability (or likelihood) of at least one earthquake of magnitude 6.7 or greater striking somewhere in

    Authors

    Brad T. Aagaard, J. Luke Blair, John Boatwright, Susan H. Garcia, Ruth A. Harris, Andrew J. Michael, David P. Schwartz, Jeanne S. DiLeo

    By

    Natural Hazards Mission Area, Earthquake Hazards Program, Earthquake Science Center, San Francisco Bay and Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta Estuary