Model outputs and model code for machine learning models forecasting streamflow drought across the Conterminous United States
September 22, 2025
We applied machine learning (ML) models to forecast streamflow drought from 1 to 13 weeks into the future at more than 3,000 streamgage locations across the Conterminous United States. We applied two machine learning methods (long short-term memory [LSTM] neural network; light gradient boosting [LightGBM] machine) and two benchmark model approaches (persistence; autoregressive integrated moving average [ARIMA]) to predict weekly streamflow percentiles with independent models for each forecast horizon. Both ML models were trained using all percentiles (LSTM-all, LightGBM-all) and only percentiles below 30% (LSTM
Citation Information
| Publication Year | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Title | Model outputs and model code for machine learning models forecasting streamflow drought across the Conterminous United States |
| DOI | 10.5066/P132NSWY |
| Authors | John C Hammond, Aaron J Heldmyer, Jeremy A Diaz, Phillip J Goodling, Ryan R McShane |
| Product Type | Data Release |
| Record Source | USGS Asset Identifier Service (AIS) |
| USGS Organization | Wyoming-Montana Water Science Center - Helena Office |
| Rights | This work is marked with CC0 1.0 Universal |