Wetland migration analysis for relative sea-level rise scenarios in Nassau and Duval Counties, Florida
June 7, 2024
This dataset includes probabilistic outputs for estimating areal coverage of current wetland coverage and potential wetland migration under various relative sea-level rise scenarios in Nassau and Duval Counties, which includes the City of Jacksonville and the U.S. National Park Service's Timucuan Ecological and Historic Preserve. These data contain potential migration for regularly oceanic-flooded wetlands (that is, flooded by oceanic water daily) and irregularly oceanic-flooded wetlands (that is, flooded by oceanic water less frequently than daily). The products in this data release were created using an approach that involved digital elevation model error reduction in wetlands (that is, overestimation of elevation in wetlands) and the use of uncertainty assumptions regarding contemporary water levels (that is, tides and extreme water levels), and future sea levels to produce probabilistic estimates of wetland migration into upslope/adjacent areas. Specifically, this data release includes results from analyses of two local sea-level rise scenarios for two-time steps — Intermediate-Low and Intermediate-High for 2050 and 2100 from Sweet and others (2022). The data release includes continuous probability layers and layers with probability binned into three classes, and the probability bins with overlapping land cover classes.
Summary References:
Sweet, W.V., B.D. Hamlington, R.E. Kopp, C.P. Weaver, P.L. Barnard, D. Bekaert, W. Brooks,
M. Craghan, G. Dusek, T. Frederikse, G. Garner, A.S. Genz, J.P. Krasting, E. Larour, D. Marcy,
J.J. Marra, J. Obeysekera, M. Osler, M. Pendleton, D. Roman, L. Schmied, W. Veatch, K.D. White,
and C. Zuzak, 2022: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA
Technical Report NOS 01. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean
Service, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/noaa-nostechrpt01-gl…
Summary References:
Sweet, W.V., B.D. Hamlington, R.E. Kopp, C.P. Weaver, P.L. Barnard, D. Bekaert, W. Brooks,
M. Craghan, G. Dusek, T. Frederikse, G. Garner, A.S. Genz, J.P. Krasting, E. Larour, D. Marcy,
J.J. Marra, J. Obeysekera, M. Osler, M. Pendleton, D. Roman, L. Schmied, W. Veatch, K.D. White,
and C. Zuzak, 2022: Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA
Technical Report NOS 01. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean
Service, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/noaa-nostechrpt01-gl…
Citation Information
Publication Year | 2024 |
---|---|
Title | Wetland migration analysis for relative sea-level rise scenarios in Nassau and Duval Counties, Florida |
DOI | 10.5066/P9K56TBC |
Authors | Nicholas M Enwright, Bethanie M Simons, Michael J Osland, Hana (Contractor) R Thurman, Claire E McHenry, William Vervaeke, Brett Patton, Davina L Passeri, Jason Stoker, Richard H Day |
Product Type | Data Release |
Record Source | USGS Asset Identifier Service (AIS) |
USGS Organization | Wetland and Aquatic Research Center - Gainesville, FL |
Rights | This work is marked with CC0 1.0 Universal |
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Sea-level rise rates are predicted to surpass rates of wetland vertical adjustment in the coming decades in many areas, increasing the potential for wetland submergence. Information on where wetland migration is possible can help natural resource managers for planning land acquisition or enhancing habitat connectivity to bolster adaptation of coastal wetlands to rising seas. Elevation...
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Enhancing assessments of coastal wetland migration potential with sea-level rise: Accounting for uncertainty in elevation data, tidal data, and future water levels
Sea-level rise rates are predicted to surpass rates of wetland vertical adjustment in the coming decades in many areas, increasing the potential for wetland submergence. Information on where wetland migration is possible can help natural resource managers for planning land acquisition or enhancing habitat connectivity to bolster adaptation of coastal wetlands to rising seas. Elevation...
Authors
Nicholas Enwright, Michael Osland, Hana R. Thurman, Claire E. McHenry, William C. Vervaeke, Brett Patton, Davina Passeri, Jason M. Stoker, Richard Day, Bethanie M. Simons
Davina L. Passeri, PhD
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Jason M Stoker, Ph.D.
Elevation and Science Applications Lead
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