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Future U.S. Federal lease coal production and greenhouse gas emissions: Estimates 2024-51 - Data

August 12, 2025

The dataset includes 2024-2051 estimates of projected United States Federal mineral rights lands coal production and the resulting greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from mining, transporting, and combusting that fuel. The data cover six states and 30 coal mines. It is divided into four tables, one of coal production and three of GHG emissions. The coal production is presented with three different production volumes per year. Each volume represents a different scenario of coal production; minimum, most likely, and maximum. The parent report to this data release provides details on the scenarios used. The three other tables estimate GHG emissions for each of the coal production scenarios. For each scenario, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions were calculated across seven sectors: four types of coal combustion, coal transportation, and fugitive emissions from active surface and underground mines. Estimates for all three GHGs are included in most sectors, resulting in a total of 17 distinct results. For each sector, the uncertainty for the emissions estimates are also reported, leading to a total of 51 outputs (and 21 totals and subtotals) for each of the three coal production scenarios.

Publication Year 2025
Title Future U.S. Federal lease coal production and greenhouse gas emissions: Estimates 2024-51 - Data
DOI 10.5066/P1OW8XA8
Authors Matthew Merrill, Paul E Pierce, Elisa (Contractor) Fierro, Chad Meister
Product Type Data Release
Record Source USGS Asset Identifier Service (AIS)
USGS Organization Geology, Energy & Minerals Science Center
Rights This work is marked with CC0 1.0 Universal
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