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The influence of fire-fuel feedbacks on boreal forest fire regimes under future climate change

June 30, 2025

This data release contains a set of 21st-century burned-area projections to explicitly account for fire-fuel feedbacks in boreal North America for the years 2010 - 2100. Wildfire regimes in the boreal forest biome of North America are vulnerable to shifts in climate, and significant intensifications in area burned are anticipated under many 21st-century global climate model (GCM) projections. However, fire-fuel feedbacks – or how fire-induced vegetation shifts may limit future climate-induced burning – are generally not accounted for in these projections. Such estimates of future fire activity are consequently relatively unconstrained, representing a key source of uncertainty and therefore of limited use in natural-resource management decisions. This data set aims to address these uncertainties with burned-area projections that include fire-fuel feedbacks in the boreal region of North America.

Publication Year 2025
Title The influence of fire-fuel feedbacks on boreal forest fire regimes under future climate change
DOI 10.5066/P1AAMRUF
Authors Adam M Young, Jeremy Littell, Scott Rupp
Product Type Data Release
Record Source USGS Asset Identifier Service (AIS)
USGS Organization National Climate Adaptation Science Center
Rights This work is marked with CC0 1.0 Universal
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