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2025 Draft List of Critical Minerals

Detailed Description

The List of Critical Minerals Informs: 

  • Supply chain risk mitigation 

  • Federal policy and strategy 

  • Stockpiles 

  • Permitting Processes 

  • Scenario Planning 

  • Private investment 

USGS Methodology 

  1. Eighty-four mineral commodities are grouped into supply chains 

  2. To determine if the impacts of trade disruption on the U.S. economy are significant, an economics effects assessment and a scenario probabilities assessment are conducted. Over 400 industries and more than 1,200 trade disruption scenarios are analyzed as part of the assessments.    

  3. Each mineral commodity is then categorized by its risk of a trade disruption. A risk probability weighting is calculated by multiplying the likelihood of a scenario occurring by the impact of the scenario. If the risk is high, elevated, or moderate, the commodity is proposed for inclusion on the List.   

  4. If the risk is limited, negligible, or negative, the commodity is then assessed for a single point of failure in the supply chain. If there is a single domestic producer for that commodity, it is proposed for inclusion on the List. 

Minerals in Focus 

Samarium 

  • List Ranking:

  • Leading Producer:  China 

  • Industries at Risk:  Defense, Navigation 

Rhodium 

  • List Ranking:  

  • Leading Producer:  South Africa 

  • Industries at Risk:  Automotive, Electronics 

Niobium 

  • List Ranking: 10 

  • Leading Producer:  Brazil 

  • Industries at Risk:  Construction, Medical Equipment 

2025 Draft List of Critical Minerals (Ranked by Risk Classification) 

High 

  • Samarium 

  • Rhodium 

  • Lutetium 

  • Terbium 

  • Dysprosium 

  • Gallium 

  • Germanium 

  • Gadolinium 

  • Tungsten 

  • Niobium 

  • Magnesium 

  • Yttrium 

  • Potash 

Elevated 

  • Hafnium 

  • Aluminum 

  • Thulium 

  • Neodymium 

  • Silicon 

  • Antimony 

  • Barite 

  • Graphite 

  • Indium 

  • Vanadium 

  • Palladium 

  • Manganese 

  • Lanthanum 

  • Praseodymium 

  • Titanium 

  • Copper 

  • Platinum 

  • Ruthenium 

  • Zinc 

  • Iridium 

  • Cobalt 

  • Erbium 

  • Chromium 

  • Silver 

  • Tin 

  • Bismuth 

Moderate 

  • Nickel 

  • Tantalum 

  • Holmium 

  • Fluorspar 

  • Lithium 

  • Rhenium 

  • Cerium 

  • Lead 

  • Beryllium 

  • Europium 

  • Ytterbium 

Single Point of Failure 

  • Zirconium 

Qualitatively Assessed 

  • Cesium 

  • Rubidium 

  • Scandium 

Sources/Usage

Public Domain.

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