2025 Draft List of Critical Minerals
Detailed Description
The List of Critical Minerals Informs:
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Supply chain risk mitigation
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Federal policy and strategy
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Stockpiles
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Permitting Processes
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Scenario Planning
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Private investment
USGS Methodology
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Eighty-four mineral commodities are grouped into supply chains
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To determine if the impacts of trade disruption on the U.S. economy are significant, an economics effects assessment and a scenario probabilities assessment are conducted. Over 400 industries and more than 1,200 trade disruption scenarios are analyzed as part of the assessments.
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Each mineral commodity is then categorized by its risk of a trade disruption. A risk probability weighting is calculated by multiplying the likelihood of a scenario occurring by the impact of the scenario. If the risk is high, elevated, or moderate, the commodity is proposed for inclusion on the List.
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If the risk is limited, negligible, or negative, the commodity is then assessed for a single point of failure in the supply chain. If there is a single domestic producer for that commodity, it is proposed for inclusion on the List.
Minerals in Focus
Samarium
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List Ranking: 1
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Leading Producer: China
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Industries at Risk: Defense, Navigation
Rhodium
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List Ranking: 2
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Leading Producer: South Africa
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Industries at Risk: Automotive, Electronics
Niobium
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List Ranking: 10
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Leading Producer: Brazil
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Industries at Risk: Construction, Medical Equipment
2025 Draft List of Critical Minerals (Ranked by Risk Classification)
High
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Samarium
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Rhodium
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Lutetium
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Terbium
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Dysprosium
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Gallium
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Germanium
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Gadolinium
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Tungsten
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Niobium
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Magnesium
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Yttrium
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Potash
Elevated
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Hafnium
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Aluminum
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Thulium
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Neodymium
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Silicon
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Antimony
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Barite
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Graphite
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Indium
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Vanadium
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Palladium
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Manganese
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Lanthanum
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Praseodymium
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Titanium
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Copper
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Platinum
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Ruthenium
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Zinc
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Iridium
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Cobalt
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Erbium
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Chromium
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Silver
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Tin
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Bismuth
Moderate
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Nickel
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Tantalum
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Holmium
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Fluorspar
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Lithium
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Rhenium
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Cerium
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Lead
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Beryllium
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Europium
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Ytterbium
Single Point of Failure
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Zirconium
Qualitatively Assessed
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Cesium
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Rubidium
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Scandium
Sources/Usage
Public Domain.