Earthquake prediction; new studies yield promising results
On Agust 3, 1973, a small earthquake (magnitude 2.5) occurred near Blue Mountain Lake in the Adirondack region of northern New York State. This seemingly unimportant event was of great significance, however, because it was predicted. Seismologsits at the Lamont-Doherty geologcal Observatory of Columbia University accurately foretold the time, place, and magnitude of the event. Their prediction was based on certain pre-earthquake processes that are best explained by a hypothesis known as "dilatancy," a concept that has injected new life and direction into the science of earthquake prediction. Although much mroe reserach must be accomplished before we can expect to predict potentially damaging earthquakes with any degree of consistency, results such as this indicate that we are on a promising road.
Citation Information
Publication Year | 1974 |
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Title | Earthquake prediction; new studies yield promising results |
Authors | R. Robinson |
Publication Type | Article |
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Series Title | Earthquake Information Bulletin (USGS) |
Index ID | 70168606 |
Record Source | USGS Publications Warehouse |