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Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California: A new mapping tool

December 1, 2004

We have derived a multi-model approach to calculate time-dependent earthquake hazard resulting from earthquake clustering. This file report explains the theoretical background behind the approach, the specific details that are used in applying the method to California, as well as the statistical testing to validate the technique. We have implemented our algorithm as a real-time tool that has been automatically generating short-term hazard maps for California since May of 2002, at http://step.wr.usgs.gov

Publication Year 2004
Title Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California: A new mapping tool
DOI 10.3133/ofr20041390
Authors Matt Gerstenberger, Stefan Wiemer, Lucy Jones
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Series Title Open-File Report
Series Number 2004-1390
Index ID ofr20041390
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse