2025 Powell Center Publications

By John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis

Powell Center Working Groups and Workshops have been very productive, with 36 publications in 2025.

Powell Center working groups and workshops have been very productive, with 36 publications in 2025!

Visit our full list of publications and products here:

List of Powell Center publications on Zotero

Past Powell Center participants: are we missing any of your group’s publications or data or software products? Let us know at powellcenter@usgs.gov.

2025 Publications

Atterholt, J., McGuire, J. J., Barbour, A. J., Stewart, C., & Moschetti, M. P. (2025). Fiber-imaged supershear dynamics in the 2024 M_w 7 Mendocino Fault earthquake. Science, 389(6767), 1361–1365. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adx6858

Bacovcin, J., McIntyre, C., & Havrilla, C. A. (2025). Morphological Seed Traits Structure Relationships Between Biocrusts and Plant Emergence. Ecology and Evolution, 15(6), e71450. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.71450

Blumenthal, D. M., Diez, J., Pearse, I., Sofaer, H. R., Sorte, C. J. B., Barnett, D., Beaury, E. M., Bradley, B. A., Corbin, J. D., Dukes, J. S., Early, R., Ibáñez, I., Laughlin, D. C., Petri, L., & Vilà, M. (2025). Why are non‐native plants successful? Consistently fast economic traits and novel origin jointly explain abundance across US ecoregions. New Phytologist, nph.70307. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70307

Bondaruk, V. F., Xu, C., Wilfahrt, P., Yahdjian, L., Yu, Q., Borer, E. T., Jentsch, A., Seabloom, E. W., Smith, M. D., Alberti, J., Oñatibia, G. R., Dieguez, H., Carbognani, M., Kübert, A., Power, S. A., Eisenhauer, N., Isbell, F., Auge, H., Chandregowda, M. H., … Hautier, Y. (2025). Aridity modulates grassland biomass responses to combined drought and nutrient addition. Nature Ecology & Evolution. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-025-02705-8

Bradley, B. A., Evans, A. E., Sofaer, H. R., Vilà, M., Barnett, D. T., Beaury, E. M., Blumenthal, D. M., Corbin, J. D., Dukes, J. S., Early, R., Ibáñez, I., Pearse, I. S., Petri, L., & Sorte, C. J. B. (2025). A Quantitative Classification of the Geography of Non‐Native Flora in the United States. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 34(4), e70041. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70041

Brigham, C., Scott, C., & Crosby, C. (2025, February 10). Using Lidar to understand the impacts of the 2025 Palisades and Easton Fires. OpenTopography. https://opentopography.org/blog/using-lidar-understand-impacts-2025-palisades-and-eaton-fires-los-angeles-ca

Buonaiuto, D. M., Barnett, D., Blumenthal, D. M., Nebhut, A. N., Pearse, I. S., Sofaer, H. R., Sorte, C. J. B., Corbin, J. D., Early, R., Garbowski, M., Ibanez, I., Laughlin, D. C., Petri, L., Vilà, M., & Bradley, B. A. (2025). Using Plant Invasions to Compare Occurrence‐ and Abundance‐Based Calculations of Biotic Homogenisation: Are Results Complementary or Contradictory? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 34(3), e70022. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70022

Capone, J. A., & Marston, L. T. (2025). Water Demand Projection Accuracy and Demand Management Trends in California Cities. Water Resources Research, 61(11), e2025WR040474. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR040474

Carla Ely, Steven Perakis, Cory Cleveland, Duncan Menge, Sasha C Reed, Sarah Batterman, Timothy Crews, Katherine Dynarski, Maga Gei, Michael Gundale, Sarah Jovan, Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Mark Peoples, Emilio Rodríguez-Caballero, Verity Salmon, Fiona Soper, Anika Staccone, Benton Taylor, Bettina Weber, & Nina Wurzburger. (2025). A global dataset of terrestrial biological nitrogen fixation [Csv,xml]. U.S. Geological Survey. https://doi.org/10.5066/P1MFBVHK

Edwards, C. B., Zipkin, E. F., Henry, E. H., Haddad, N. M., Forister, M. L., Burls, K. J., Campbell, S. P., Crone, E. E., Diffendorfer, J., Douglas, M. R., Drum, R. G., Fallon, C. E., Glassberg, J., Grames, E. M., Hatfield, R., Hershcovich, S., Hoffman Black, S., Larsen, E. A., Leuenberger, W., … Schultz, C. B. (2025). Rapid butterfly declines across the United States during the 21st century. Science, 387(6738), 1090–1094. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adp4671

Evans, A. E., Pfadenhauer, W. G., Buonaiuto, D. M., Fertakos, M. E., Brown‐Lima, C. J., & Morelli, T. L. (2025). The future of biocontrol in the Anthropocene: A review of climate change impacts on biocontrol agents and their targets. Ecological Applications, 35(6), e70088. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.70088

Golden, H. E., Christensen, J. R., McMillan, H. K., Kelleher, C. A., Lane, C. R., Husic, A., Li, L., Ward, A. S., Hammond, J., Seybold, E. C., Jaeger, K. L., Zimmer, M., Sando, R., Jones, C. N., Segura, C., Mahoney, D. T., Price, A. N., & Cheng, F. (2025). Advancing the science of headwater streamflow for global water protection. Nature Water, 3(1), 16–26. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44221-024-00351-1

Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Reis Ely, C. R., Perakis, S. S., Cleveland, C. C., Menge, D. N. L., Reed, S. C., Taylor, B. N., Batterman, S. A., Crews, T. E., Dynarski, K. A., Gei, M., Gundale, M. J., Herridge, D. F., Jovan, S. E., Peoples, M. B., Piipponen, J., Rodríguez-Caballero, E., Salmon, V. G., Soper, F. M., … Wurzburger, N. (2025). Overestimated natural biological nitrogen fixation translates to an exaggerated CO₂ fertilization effect in Earth system models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(48), e2514628122. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2514628122

Lamsal, G., & Marston, L. T. (2025). Monthly Crop Water Consumption of Irrigated Crops in the United States From 1981 to 2019. Water Resources Research, 61(2), e2024WR038334. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038334

Li, B., Sprenger, M., Wyatt, B. M., Gimenez, D., Hirmas, D. R., Ajami, H., Wiekenkamp, I., Groh, J., Nimmo, J. R., Amato, M. T., Singh, N. K., Cromtpon, O., Araki, R., Xu, T., & Sullivan, P. L. (2025). Ubiquity and causes of soil water preferential flow across 18 ecoregions. https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.175277898.83302772/v1

Li, M., Li, F., Malhotra, A., Knox, S. H., Stern, R., & Jackson, R. B. (2025). Key Environmental and Ecological Variables of Wetland CH₄ and CO₂ Fluxes Change With Warming. Earth’s Future, 13(6), e2024EF005751. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF005751

Margolis, E., Wion, A., Abatzoglou, J., Daniels, L., Falk, D., Guiterman, C., Johnston, J., Kipfmueller, K., Lafon, C., Loehman, R., Lonergan, M., Naficy, C., Parisien, M., Parks, S., Portier, J., Stambaugh, M., Whitman, E., Williams, A. P., & Yocom, L. (2025). Spatiotemporal Synchrony of Climate and Fire Occurrence Across North American Forests (1750–1880). Global Ecology and Biogeography, 34(1), e13937. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13937

McGuire, J. J., Barbour, A. J., Spica, Z. J., Rodríguez Tribaldos, V., Zhan, Z., Lipovsky, B. P., Mellors, R. J., Biondi, E., Yoon, C., Karrenbach, M., Ringler, A. T., Atterholt, J., Nayak, A., Sawi, T., Viens, L., Martin, E. R., Husker, A. L., Bodin, P., Moschetti, M. P., … Puri, P. (2025). Fiber-Optic Sensing for Earthquake Hazards Research, Monitoring, and Early Warning. Seismological Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220250067

McGuire, J. J., Barbour, A. J., Stewart, C., Yartsev, V., Karrenbach, M., Hemphill-Haley, M., McPherson, R. C., Stockdale, K., Yoon, C., & Sawi, T. (2025). The GorDAS Distributed Acoustic Sensing Experiment Above the Cascadia Locked Zone and Subducted Gorda Slab. Seismological Research Letters, 96(4), 2489–2503. https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240415

Memari, S., Anderson, E. J., Phanikumar, M. S., & Gronewold, A. D. (2025). Quantifying the Impact of Groundwater on Ice Formation in the Great Lakes. Water Resources Research, 61(9), e2025WR040581. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025WR040581

Monson, R. K., Li, S., Ainsworth, E. A., Fan, Y., Hodge, J. G., Knapp, A. K., Leakey, A. D. B., Lombardozzi, D., Reed, S. C., Sage, R. F., Smith, M. D., Smith, N. G., Still, C. J., & Way, D. A. (2025). C₄ photosynthesis, trait spectra, and the fast‐efficient phenotype. New Phytologist, 246(3), 879–893. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.70057

Nimmo, J. R., Wiekenkamp, I., Araki, R., Groh, J., Singh, N. K., Crompton, O., Wyatt, B. M., Ajami, H., Giménez, D., Hirmas, D. R., Sullivan, P. L., & Sprenger, M. (2025). Identifying preferential flow from soil moisture time series: Review of methodologies. Vadose Zone Journal, 24(2), e70017. https://doi.org/10.1002/vzj2.70017

Ohlert, T., Smith, M. D., Collins, S. L., Knapp, A. K., Dukes, J. S., Sala, O., Wilkins, K. D., Munson, S. M., Anderson, M. I., Avolio, M. L., Chen, A., Hayden, M. T., Holdrege, M. C., Slette, I. J., Wilfahrt, P., Beier, C., Fraser, L. H., Jentsch, A., Loik, M. E., … Zuo, X. (2025). Drought intensity and duration interact to magnify losses in primary productivity. Science, 390(6770), 284–289. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ads8144

Parks, S. A., Guiterman, C. H., Margolis, E. Q., Lonergan, M., Whitman, E., Abatzoglou, J. T., Falk, D. A., Johnston, J. D., Daniels, L. D., Lafon, C. W., Loehman, R. A., Kipfmueller, K. F., Naficy, C. E., Parisien, M.-A., Portier, J., Stambaugh, M. C., Williams, A. P., Wion, A. P., & Yocom, L. L. (2025). A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned. Nature Communications, 16(1), 1493. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56333-8

Patton, J. R., Ross, S. L., Eble, M. C., Kyriakopoulos, C., Lynett, P. J., Nicolsky, D. J., Ryan, K., Thio, H. K., Wilson, R. I., & Wu, B. (2025). Developing a Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment Framework for Pacific Sources: USGS Powell Center Meeting Summary. Environmental & Engineering Geoscience, 31(1), 67–76. https://doi.org/10.21663/EEG-D-24-00034

Paz‐Vinas, I., Vandergast, A. G., Schmidt, C., Leigh, D. M., Blanchet, S., Clark, R. D., Crandall, E. D., De Kort, H., Falgout, J., Garroway, C. J., Karachaliou, E., Kershaw, F., O’Brien, D., Pinsky, M. L., Segelbacher, G., Toczydlowski, R. H., & Hunter, M. E. (2025). Sparse genetic data limit biodiversity assessments in protected areas globally. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, e2867. https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2867

Reeves, I. R. B., Ashton, A. D., Lentz, E. E., Sherwood, C. R., Passeri, D. L., & Zeigler, S. L. (2025). Projecting management-relevant change of undeveloped coastal barriers with the Mesoscale Explicit Ecogeomorphic Barrier model (MEEB) v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 18(23), 9319–9348. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-9319-2025

Reis Ely, C., Perakis, S., Cleveland, C., Menge, D., Reed, S. C., Taylor, B., Batterman, S., Clark, C. J., Crews, T., Dynarski, K., Gei, M., Gundale, M., Jovan, S., Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Peoples, M., Rodríguez-Caballero, E., Salmon, V., Soper, F., Staccone, A., … Wurzburger, N. (2025). Global gridded dataset of terrestrial biological nitrogen fixation across natural and agricultural biomes [Xml,tif]. U.S. Geological Survey. https://doi.org/10.5066/P13THKNR

Reis Ely, C. R., Perakis, S. S., Cleveland, C. C., Menge, D. N. L., Reed, S. C., Batterman, S. A., Crews, T. E., Dynarski, K. A., Gei, M., Gundale, M. J., Jovan, S. E., Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Peoples, M. B., Rodríguez-Caballero, E., Salmon, V. G., Soper, F. M., Staccone, A. P., Taylor, B. N., Weber, B., & Wurzburger, N. (2025). A global dataset of terrestrial biological nitrogen fixation. Scientific Data, 12(1), 1362. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05131-4

Reis Ely, C. R., Perakis, S. S., Cleveland, C. C., Menge, D. N. L., Reed, S. C., Taylor, B. N., Batterman, S. A., Clark, C. M., Crews, T. E., Dynarski, K. A., Gei, M., Gundale, M. J., Herridge, D. F., Jovan, S. E., Kou-Giesbrecht, S., Peoples, M. B., Piipponen, J., Rodríguez-Caballero, E., Salmon, V. G., … Wurzburger, N. (2025). Global terrestrial nitrogen fixation and its modification by agriculture. Nature, 643(8072), 705–711. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09201-w

Rumschlag, S. L., Gallagher, B., Hill, R., Schäfer, R. B., Schmidt, T. S., Woods, T., Kopp, D., Dumelle, M., Rohr, J. R., De Laender, F., Hoffman, J., Behrens, J., Lepak, R., Jones, D. K., & Mahon, M. B. (2025). Diverging fish biodiversity trends in cold and warm rivers and streams. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09556-0

Schmidt, C., Karachaliou, E., Vandergast, A. G., Crandall, E. D., Falgout, J., Hunter, M. E., Kershaw, F., Leigh, D. M., O’Brien, D., Paz‐Vinas, I., Segelbacher, G., & Garroway, C. J. (2025). A Survey of Mammal and Fish Genetic Diversity Across the Global Protected Area Network. Conservation Letters, 18(2), e13092. https://doi.org/10.1111/conl.13092

Schulz, A. N., Havill, N. P., Marsico, T. D., Ayres, M. P., Gandhi, K. J. K., Herms, D. A., Hoover, A. M., Hufbauer, R. A., Liebhold, A. M., Raffa, K. F., Thomas, K. A., Tobin, P. C., Uden, D. R., & Mech, A. M. (2025). What Is a Specialist? Quantifying Host Breadth Enables Impact Prediction for Invasive Herbivores. Ecology Letters, 28(2), e70083. https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.70083

Sjöstedt, E., Rushforth, R., Tidwell, V., Harris, M., McManamay, R., & Marston, L. (2025). Impact of Thermoelectric Power Plant Operations and Water Use Reporting Methods on Thermoelectric Power Plant Water Use. Environmental Science & Technology, 59(9), 4482–4492. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.4c02024

Skoumal, R. J., Atterholt, J., Barbour, A. J., & Hardebeck, J. L. (2025). Amplitude Ratios With Distributed Acoustic Sensing and Application to Earthquake Focal Mechanisms. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(20), e2025GL116373. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL116373

Tran‐Khac, V., Doubek, J. P., Patil, V., Stockwell, J. D., Adrian, R., Chang, C., Dur, G., Lewandowska, A., Rusak, J. A., Salmaso, N., Straile, D., Thackeray, S. J., Venail, P., Bhattacharya, R., Brentrup, J., Bruel, R., Feuchtmayr, H., Gessner, M. O., Grossart, H., … Anneville, O. (2025). Using Long‐Term Ecological Datasets to Unravel the Impacts of Short‐Term Meteorological Disturbances on Phytoplankton Communities. Freshwater Biology, 70(5), e70023. https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.70023