Projected proportional change in population density for American pronghorn under future climate scenarios in the U.S. Southwest

Projected proportional change in American pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) population density in the U.S. Southwest under future climate scenarios. Projections are available for all combinations of three future time periods (2021-2050 ["2030s"], 2041-2070 ["2050s"], and 2061-2090 ["2070s"]), two emissions scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and two statistical models (means and extremes). Projected changes are relative to a reference period of 1981-2010. The means models included predictors representing climate means, annual phenology metrics, or biophysical variables that did not change through time. The extremes models included all of the predictors in the means model plus predictors representing climate extremes. Units of analysis are Game Management Units (GMUs) defined by the Arizona Game and Fish Department. Projections are limited to GMUs with sufficient pronghorn survey data to allow model fitting.