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2014 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast

June 17, 2014

The Gulf of Mexico annual summer hypoxia forecasts are based on average May
total nitrogen loads from the Mississippi River basin for that year. The load
estimate, recently released by USGS, is 4,761 metric tons per day. Based on that
estimate, we predict the area of this summer’s hypoxic zone to be 14,000 square
kilometers (95% credible interval, 8,000 to 20,000) – an “average year”.

Our forecast hypoxic volume is 50 km3 (95% credible interval, 20 to 77).

Publication Year 2014
Title 2014 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast
Authors Donald Scavia, Mary Anne Evans, Dan Obenour
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype Other Government Series
Index ID 70115105
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Great Lakes Science Center