Skip to main content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Are there spurious temperature trends in the United States Climate Division database?

January 1, 2003

The United States (U.S.) Climate Division data set is commonly used in applied climatic studies in the United States. The divisional averages are calculated by including all available stations within a division at any given time. The averages are therefore vulnerable to shifts in average station location or elevation over time, which may introduce spurious trends within these data. This paper examines temperature trends within the 15 climate divisions of New England, comparing the NCDC's U.S. Divisional Data to the U.S. Historical Climate Network (USHCN) data. Correlation and multiple regression revealed that shifts in latitude, longitude, and elevation have affected the quality of the NCDC divisional data with respect to the USHCN. As a result, there may be issues with regard to their use in decadal-to century-scale climate change studies.

Publication Year 2003
Title Are there spurious temperature trends in the United States Climate Division database?
DOI 10.1029/2002GL016295
Authors B.D. Keim, A.M. Wilson, C.P. Wake, T.G. Huntington
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Geophysical Research Letters
Index ID 70025680
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse