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Distribution of tsunami interevent times

January 1, 2008

The distribution of tsunami interevent times is analyzed using global and site-specific (Hilo, Hawaii) tsunami catalogs. An empirical probability density distribution is determined by binning the observed interevent times during a period in which the observation rate is approximately constant. The empirical distributions for both catalogs exhibit non-Poissonian behavior in which there is an abundance of short interevent times compared to an exponential distribution. Two types of statistical distributions are used to model this clustering behavior: (1) long-term clustering described by a universal scaling law, and (2) Omori law decay of aftershocks and triggered sources. The empirical and theoretical distributions all imply an increased hazard rate after a tsunami, followed by a gradual decrease with time approaching a constant hazard rate. Examination of tsunami sources suggests that many of the short interevent times are caused by triggered earthquakes, though the triggered events are not necessarily on the same fault.

Publication Year 2008
Title Distribution of tsunami interevent times
DOI 10.1029/2007GL032690
Authors E.L. Geist, T. Parsons
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Geophysical Research Letters
Index ID 70033388
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse