Flood warning toolset for the Sabinal River near Utopia, Texas

Floods are one of the most frequent and expensive natural disasters that occur across the United States. Rapid, high-water events that occur in local areas—flash floods—are especially difficult for emergency managers to predict and provide advance warning to the public, and insufficient data can hamper postflood recovery efforts. Central Texas is hilly, and it is known as a “flash flood alley” because of its high-intensity rains, shallow soils, and steep terrain, all of which combined can result in loss of life and property damage. For example, the flash flood event during July 2002 claimed 12 lives in central Texas, including 1 in the town of Utopia, which is on the east bank of the Sabinal River in a flash-flood-prone area along the Balcones Escarpment. During the flood event, the peak discharge recorded on July 5, 2002, at U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamgage 08198000 Sabinal River near Sabinal, Tex. (hereinafter referred to as the “Sabinal gage”), was 108,000 cubic feet per second (corresponding to a stream stage [also called gage height] of 33.74 feet). To put the 2002 flood into context, during a typical year the median daily discharge in the Sabinal River at the Sabinal gage is only about 23 cubic feet per second. In 2021, the USGS, in cooperation with the Bandera County River Authority and Groundwater District and the Texas Water Development Board, developed a flood warning toolset for the Sabinal River near Utopia. This study builds on earlier USGS flood work on the Medina River in Bandera County. The newly developed toolset consists of a newly installed USGS streamgage to collect continuous stream stage data (streamgage 08197970 Sabinal River at Utopia, Tex.; hereinafter referred to as the “Utopia gage”) 13 miles upstream from the Sabinal gage, a hydraulic model developed for the Sabinal River near Utopia, and an online library of digital flood-inundation maps referenced to the stream stage at the Utopia gage.