Modeled production, oxidation, and transport processes of wetland methane emissions in temperate, boreal, and Arctic regions

Wetlands are the largest natural source of methane (CH₄) to the atmosphere. The eddy covariance method provides robust measurements of net ecosystem exchange of CH₄, but interpreting its spatiotemporal variations is challenging due to the co-occurrence of CH₄ production, oxidation, and transport dynamics. Here, we estimate these three processes using a data-model fusion approach across 25 wetlands in temperate, boreal, and Arctic regions. Our data-constrained model—iPEACE—reasonably reproduced CH₄ emissions at 19 of the 25 sites with normalized root mean square error of 0.59, correlation coefficient of 0.82, and normalized standard deviation of 0.87. Among the three processes, CH₄ production appeared to be the most important process, followed by oxidation in explaining inter-site variations in CH₄ emissions. Based on a sensitivity analysis, CH₄ emissions were generally more sensitive to decreased water table than to increased gross primary productivity or soil temperature. For periods with leaf area index (LAI) of ≥20% of its annual peak, plant-mediated transport appeared to be the major pathway for CH₄ transport. Contributions from ebullition and diffusion were relatively high during low LAI (<20%) periods. The lag time between CH₄ production and CH₄ emissions tended to be short in fen sites (3 ± 2 days) and long in bog sites (13 ± 10 days). Based on a principal component analysis, we found that parameters for CH₄ production, plant-mediated transport, and diffusion through water explained 77% of the variance in the parameters across the 19 sites, highlighting the importance of these parameters for predicting wetland CH₄ emissions across biomes. These processes and associated parameters for CH₄ emissions among and within the wetlands provide useful insights for interpreting observed net CH₄ fluxes, estimating sensitivities to biophysical variables, and modeling global CH₄ fluxes.