From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term
January 1, 2010
We used near-term climate scenarios for the continental United States, to model 12 invasive plants species. We created three potential habitat suitability models for each species using maximum entropy modeling: (1) current; (2) 2020; and (3) 2035. Area under the curve values for the models ranged from 0.92 to 0.70, with 10 of the 12 being above 0.83 suggesting strong and predictable species-environment matching. Change in area between the current potential habitat and 2035 ranged from a potential habitat loss of about 217,000 km2, to a potential habitat gain of about 133,000 km2.
Citation Information
Publication Year | 2010 |
---|---|
Title | From points to forecasts: Predicting invasive species habitat suitability in the near term |
DOI | 10.3390/d2050738 |
Authors | Tracy R. Holcombe, Thomas J. Stohlgren, Catherine S. Jarnevich |
Publication Type | Article |
Publication Subtype | Journal Article |
Series Title | Diversity |
Index ID | 70176097 |
Record Source | USGS Publications Warehouse |
USGS Organization | Fort Collins Science Center |