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Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning

January 17, 2025

Earthquakes are a rapid-onset hazard where advance planning and learning plays a key role in mitigating injuries and death to individuals. Recent advances in earthquake detection have resulted in the development of earthquake early warning (EEW) systems. These systems can provide advance warning to predetermined geographic regions that an earthquake is in progress, which may result in individuals receiving warning seconds before significant shaking is felt at their location. This additional time could allow individuals to take more effective protective actions during the immediate disaster. To demonstrate this, we created an agent-based simulation of a basic apartment that allowed us to randomly and repeatedly simulate an individual receiving and responding to an EEW message. The results of our preliminary simulation show that, in our study environment, earthquake early warning alerts have the potential to allow for sufficient time for individuals to take protective actions.

Publication Year 2025
Title Simulating human behavior under earthquake early warning
DOI 10.1016/j.heliyon.2025.e42060
Authors Matthew Wood, Sara K. McBride, Xilei Zhao, Dare Baldwin, Elizabeth Cochran, Xiaojian Zhang, Nico Luco, Ruggiero Lovreglio, Tom Cova
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Heliyon
Index ID 70263385
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Earthquake Science Center
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