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Unique thermal mixing patterns in Lake Ontario revealed by novel year-round observations of thermal stratification

September 30, 2025

Year-round records of thermal stratification in the Great Lakes are rare, and there are few observations of thermal stratification during winter. In this paper, we analyze temperature data from 13 temperature logger chains and from over 130 benthic acoustic receivers that were deployed across Lake Ontario for 2 yr. The timing and duration of the fall overturn correlate with the local average water depth, and shallow sites (< 50 m depth) overturn up to a month before deep sites (> 100 m depths). Likewise, in spring, the shallow sites warm faster. Lake Ontario has partial ice cover, so wind-driven mixing stirs the water column throughout winter, and inverse thermal stratification is largely absent. The depth-averaged winter water temperatures vary between 0°C and 4°C, with the coldest temperatures (near 0.1°C) found in the shallow Kingston basin and warmest temperatures (near 4°C) at sites near the 244 m deep Rochester Basin. Lake Ontario appears to be a warm monomictic lake, rather than having a dimictic mixing pattern as previously described—there is no sustained ice cover or inverse stratification that inhibits vertical mixing in winter. Winter is a poorly understood season for many aquatic processes, including fish bioenergetics, fish distribution, biochemical processes, invertebrate distribution, and production. Moreover, the lack of knowledge of winter has hampered the use of correct initial conditions for running large lake hydrodynamic models.

Publication Year 2025
Title Unique thermal mixing patterns in Lake Ontario revealed by novel year-round observations of thermal stratification
DOI 10.1002/lno.70215
Authors Mathew Wells, Tim Johnson, Rylie Robinson, Jon Midwood, Yulu Shi, Sarah M. Larocque, Adam Eddie, Brian O’Malley, Kyle Morton, Dimitri Gorsky, Bruce Tufts
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Limnology and Oceanography
Index ID 70272111
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Great Lakes Science Center
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