Social Media: Biogeomorphic salt marsh model

A new study introduces a cutting-edge biogeomorphic model (UBMorph) to help predict how #ChesapeakeBay #saltmarshes will change over time. Using UBMorph, researchers found that 404 square kilometers (37%) of vegetated #marsh area in Chesapeake Bay could be lost by 2110. However, the #restoration model indicates that about 400 square kilometers of marsh require either no intervention or low effort hydrologic intervention presently. If no action is taken, over 700 square kilometers will require high effort restoration by 2070. 

Read the #journalarticle, “A simple predictive model for salt marsh internal deterioration under sea-level rise and sediment deficits: Application to Chesapeake Bay,” to learn more. https://doi.org/10.1007.s12237-025-01618-w 

You can also view and download the data: https://doi.org/10.5066/P1ASOF7N.  

This synthesis of research models with management-focused decision models demonstrates a tangible advance in bridging the gap between process-based research and restoration needs. 

#USGS