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Beyond optimality: Dryland ecosystems infrequently use water efficiently for carbon gain

December 26, 2025

Optimality theory assumes plants maximize carbon gain per unit water lost and is often implemented to scale leaf-level carbon gain and water use to regional and global scales. Optimality theory is often mathematically represented by assuming plant water-use efficiency (WUE) scales with VPDk, where k = ½ represents expected optimal behavior. It is unclear, however, if this relationship holds in arid and semi-arid ecosystems that are strongly impacted by soil and atmospheric moisture status. We used data from seven flux tower sites along an aridity gradient in New Mexico to answer: how does the relationship between WUE and VPD compare to expectations based on optimality theory? To address this question, we integrated the Dynamic Evapotranspiration Partitioning Approach for Rapid Timescales with a stochastic antecedent model to estimate ecosystem-level WUE (GPP/T) and the net sensitivity of WUE to VPD, or kDynamic, which we compare to the theoretical optimal sensitivity of k = ½. Our results show that optimality theory is not always appropriate, and kDynamic often deviates from ½, especially at some of the more arid sites or during periods of low soil moisture. At less arid, higher elevation sites, kDynamic is most consistent with optimality theory at moderate VPD levels, but not at high VPD. In general, the sensitivity of WUE to VPD is highly variable such that kDynamic exhibits notable daily and seasonal variability, suggesting highly dynamic stomatal behavior. These results emphasize that representing plant water-use strategies as dynamic in time and space is critical to improving large-scale estimates of plant water use.

Publication Year 2025
Title Beyond optimality: Dryland ecosystems infrequently use water efficiently for carbon gain
DOI 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110996
Authors Emma G. Reich, Kym Samuels-Crow, John B. Bradford, Marcy Litvak, Daniel Rodolphe Schlaepfer, Kiona Ogle
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Index ID 70279872
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Northwest Climate Adaptation Science Center
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