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Climate change is reshaping seagrass futures: Novel environments and opportunities along coastlines and across oceans

October 12, 2026

Seagrasses are a highly productive ecosystem that supports biodiversity and fisheries, protects coastlines, and buries globally significant carbon stocks. Because seagrasses are increasingly stressed by warmer, darker, and more variable waters, established management strategies may not guarantee future success. Here, we depict a global outlook for seagrass futures by synthesizing how climate and non-climate human pressures may restructure meadow composition, food webs, fisheries, and blue carbon services. Current seagrass range shifts, adaptations, and acclimations to novel environmental conditions preview future states: climate-tolerant species often become dominant post-disturbance, seeds can disperse hundreds of kilometers, and local management can facilitate habitat persistence and large-scale restoration. To boost climate resilience, we propose a three-part framework involving (1) expanding seagrass mariculture and planting, (2) detecting and predicting shifting stressor gradients and species distributions, and (3) managing for seagrasses tolerant of novel environments. Together, these strategies offer proactive pathways for cultivating climate-adapted seagrass meadows worldwide.

Publication Year 2026
Title Climate change is reshaping seagrass futures: Novel environments and opportunities along coastlines and across oceans
DOI 10.1093/biosci/biag145
Authors Marc J.S. Hensel, Christopher J. Patrick, Christopher Brown, Jillian Dunic, Jonathan S. Lefcheck, Enie Hensel, Lina Mtwana Nordlund, Melisa C. Wong, Joel A. Carr, William C. Dennison, Katharina A. Engelhardt, Kendrick. Gary A., Karen McGlathery, Richard C. Zimmerman, David J. Wilcox, Robert J. Orth
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title BioScience
Index ID 70283166
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Eastern Ecological Science Center
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