Skip to main content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Cyclic injection leads to larger and more frequent induced earthquakes under volume-controlled conditions

April 19, 2024

As carbon storage technologies advance globally, methods to understand and mitigate induced earthquakes become increasingly important. Although the physical processes that relate increased subsurface pore pressure changes to induced earthquakes have long been known, reliable methods to forecast and control induced seismic sequences remain elusive. Suggested reservoir engineering scenarios for mitigating induced earthquakes typically involve modulation of the injection rate. Some operators have implemented periodic shutdowns (i.e., effective cycling of injection rates) to allow reservoir pressures to equilibrate (e.g., Paradox Valley) or shut‐in wells after the occurrence of an event of concern (e.g., Basel, Switzerland). Other proposed scenarios include altering injection rates, actively managing pressures through coproduction of fluids, and preinjection brine extraction. In this work, we use 3D physics‐based earthquake simulations to understand the effects of different injection scenarios on induced earthquake rates, maximum event magnitudes, and postinjection seismicity. For comparability, the modeled injection considers the same cumulative volume over the project’s operational life but varies the schedule and rates of fluid injected. Simulation results show that cyclic injection leads to more frequent and larger events than constant injection. Furthermore, with intermittent injection scenario, a significant number of events are shown to occur during pauses in injection, and the seismicity rate remains elevated for longer into the postinjection phase compared to the constant injection scenario.

Publication Year 2024
Title Cyclic injection leads to larger and more frequent induced earthquakes under volume-controlled conditions
DOI 10.1785/0220230330
Authors Kayla A. Kroll, Elizabeth S. Cochran
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Seismological Research Letters
Index ID 70257486
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Earthquake Science Center
Was this page helpful?