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Federal onshore oil and gas lease bonus bids, 1972-1977: Statistical studies

January 1, 1979

We studied the statistical behavior of Federal onshore oil and gas lease bonus bids. Like offshore bids, these bids exhibited (a) occasional occurrences of low, noise bids, (b) apparent lognormality, (c) standard deviations (using natural logarithms) close to one, (d) apparent disparities between money left on the table given random lognormal bids consistent with flinching, and (e) wide ranges of aggressive and conservative biases of bidders in individual sales. In fact, the only substantive difference found was a far lesser proportion of joint bidding and larger company bidders bidding for these onshore leases which tended to receive lower bids than offshore bids.

Publication Year 1979
Title Federal onshore oil and gas lease bonus bids, 1972-1977: Statistical studies
DOI 10.3133/ofr791251
Authors John Lohrenz, John A. Pederson
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Series Title Open-File Report
Series Number 79-1251
Index ID ofr791251
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
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