Hazard calculations for the WGCEP-2002 earthquake forecast using OpenSHA and distributed object technologies

We present seismic-hazard calculations for what is arguably the most sophisticated earthquake forecast ever developed—the model by the 2002 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (2003), or WGCEP-2002 as referred to hereafter. These calculations have been made possible by developments in both OpenSHA (Field et al., 2003) and the Information Technology Research (ITR) Collaboration of the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) (Jordan et al., 2003). In particular, we demonstrate the use of a freely available, platform-independent, and graphical-user-interface-based application for computing hazard curves. This application utilizes distributed-object technologies, meaning the code running on the client's computer communicates over the Internet with code hosted elsewhere on server computers. This interoperability, which is invisible to the user, makes the application fast and executable without heavy installation requirements. Instructions on how to reproduce the calculations presented here are available under “Publications” at the Web site http://www.OpenSHA.org/.