Multi-temporal mapping and analyses of post-wildfire surface soil moisture modeled from Landsat Thermal-IR and Sentinel-1 SAR

Wildfires alter surface soil moisture by consuming vegetation and exposing the soil to increased solar radiation, increased precipitation throughfall, and reduced infiltration from soil hydrophobicity. This can affect the water balance within the watershed and, in turn, influence post-fire nutrient cycling and ecosystem succession. Modeling surface soil moisture over large areas using satellite remote sensing can aid monitoring of soil moisture patterns and dynamics. We trained a random forest regression model using an in situ soil moisture network and examined pre- and post-fire soil moisture dynamics for three wildfires that burned in 2016 and 2017 in coastal California, U.S.A. Model inputs included Sentinel-1A synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and Landsat thermal infrared imagery (TIR), which produced a high resolution (30 m) soil moisture map time series with 18–20 estimates across 2 years. An unbiased root mean square error of 0.065 and an r² of 0.624 indicates a good fit between the model and reference data. We found a significant interaction between treatment (wildfire or unburned) and period (before or after wildfire) by examining the modeled surface soil moisture in high-severity burned areas. Before-after control-impact metrics showed that modeled surface soil moisture was lower after each fire within wildfire areas compared to unburned controls, and overall changes in soil moisture were greater in the wildfire perimeters than unburned areas. These results demonstrate the potential of Sentinel-1 SAR and Landsat TIR data for the development of high-resolution soil moisture time series products to support monitoring and assessment of post-fire soil hydrologic conditions.