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On the size of the flare associated with the solar proton event in 774 AD

October 29, 2020

The 774 AD solar proton event (SPE) detected in cosmogenic nuclides had an inferred >1 GV (>430 MeV) fluence estimated to have been ~30–70 times larger than that of the 1956 February 23 ground level event (GLE). The 1956 GLE was itself ~2.5 times larger at >430 MeV than the episode of strong GLE activity from 1989 August–October. We use an inferred soft X-ray (SXR) class of X20 ± 10 for the 1956 February 23 eruptive flare as a bridge to the source flare for the 774 SPE. A correlation of the >200 MeV proton fluences of hard-spectra post-1975 GLEs with the SXR peak fluxes of their associated flares yields an SXR flare class of X285 ± 140 (bolometric energy of ~(1.9 ± 0.7) × 1033 erg) for the 774 flare. This estimate is within theoretical determinations of the largest flare the Sun could produce based on the largest spot group yet observed. Assuming a single eruptive flare source for the 774 SPE, the above estimate indicates that the Sun can produce a threshold-level 1033 erg superflare. If the 774 event originated in two closely timed, equal-fluence SPEs, the inferred flare size drops to X180 ± 90 (~(1.4 ± 0.5) × 1033 erg). We speculate on favorable solar conditions that can lead to enhanced shock acceleration of high-energy protons in eruptive flares.

Publication Year 2020
Title On the size of the flare associated with the solar proton event in 774 AD
DOI 10.3847/1538-4357/abad93
Authors E. W. Cliver, H. Hayakawa, Jeffrey J. Love, D. F. Neidig
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Astrophysical Journal
Index ID 70222578
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Geologic Hazards Science Center