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Systematic approach to prioritize wells for effective groundwater monitoring and management in the Arkansas Headwaters Basin, Colorado, USA

November 20, 2025

Study region

The Arkansas Headwaters Basin, an intermountain basin in the Southern Rocky Mountains of North America.

Study focus

Our specific focus is choosing a set of wells to support a possible future regional groundwater-surface water model that would support water management. We present a three-step process using multiple criteria to score, predict, and choose prioritized wells that capture the full distribution of data including extremes. The three-step process provides accessible visualizations, fiscally efficient well prioritization, and screening useful for subsequent groundwater modeling. The novelty of the proposed methodology is the systematic approach integrating a scoring and a predictive approach to support a selection path. The systematic approach may be broadly adapted for other basins.

New hydrological insights for the region

Understanding regional hydrology hinges on efficient collection of hydrologic data that captures the relevant dynamics including extremes. The present study, a case study for a particular basin in the Southern Rocky Mountains, is the first use of a scripted (R software) strategy to select an economical and representative set of monitoring wells. Our findings suggest caution when using proximity as a proxy for correlation, because proximal wells in the same geologic formation and similar depths are not always correlated. In the Arkansas Headwaters Basin, subsurface geology may be less influential on groundwater elevations than broader hydrologic influences, such as regional drought.

Publication Year 2025
Title Systematic approach to prioritize wells for effective groundwater monitoring and management in the Arkansas Headwaters Basin, Colorado, USA
DOI 10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102910
Authors Eleanor E. Fahrney, David C. Mays, Connor P. Newman
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Index ID 70272630
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Colorado Water Science Center
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