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The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 2 (UCERF 2)

April 16, 2008

California?s 35 million people live among some of the most active earthquake faults in the United States. Public safety demands credible assessments of the earthquake hazard to maintain appropriate building codes for safe construction and earthquake insurance for loss protection. Seismic hazard analysis begins with an earthquake rupture forecast?a model of probabilities that earthquakes of specified magnitudes, locations, and faulting types will occur during a specified time interval. This report describes a new earthquake rupture forecast for California developed by the 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2007).

Publication Year 2008
Title The Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 2 (UCERF 2)
DOI 10.3133/ofr20071437
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype USGS Numbered Series
Series Title Open-File Report
Series Number 2007-1437
Index ID ofr20071437
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Earthquake Hazards Program; Earthquake Science Center; Geologic Hazards Science Center