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Water temperature analysis of the North Branch Au Sable River, Michigan, and implications to salmonid populations

October 1, 2025

Ambient stream water temperatures affect salmonid movement and survival with fish actively seeking thermal refugia from warming waters. This study sought to investigate the potential role of water temperature in the perceived decline in native Brook Trout Salvelinus fontinalis and non-native Brown Trout Salmo trutta populations in the North Branch Au Sable River by fishers and reported to resource managers in 2018 and 2019. Water temperature was analyzed at nine stations within the North Branch Au Sable River in 2021 and 2022. A total of 61,390 temperature observations were collected with 58.0% exceeding the optimal growth threshold for Brook Trout of 16°C; 37.9% exceeding the movement threshold for Brook Trout of 18°C; 3.4% exceeding the upper limit for positive growth for Brook Trout of 23.4°C; and 28.6% exceeding the optimal growth threshold for Brown Trout of 19°C. The maximum daily water temperatures recorded for each year were 27.58°C in 2021 and 26.89°C in 2022. The availability of cold water thermal refugia is critical to the viability of native Brook Trout populations in the North Branch Au Sable River and its tributaries. Efforts should be taken to increase ambient stream water temperature monitoring year-round and to determine the size, frequency, and availability of thermal refugia within the watershed to increase the likelihood of a system resilient to the impacts of a warming climate.

Publication Year 2025
Title Water temperature analysis of the North Branch Au Sable River, Michigan, and implications to salmonid populations
Authors Nicole Watson, Daniel Hayes, Neal Godby
Publication Type Report
Publication Subtype State or Local Government Series
Series Title Fisheries Report
Series Number 47
Index ID 70272045
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Great Lakes Science Center
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