Devin McPhillips, PhD
(He/him)As an earthquake geologist, I investigate fault systems, fault activity, and ground shaking intensity. I am particularly interested in records of past earthquakes that are preserved in the landscape. My research methods include field observation, geochronology, and quantitative analysis. My goals are to quantify seismic hazard and reduce risk.
Professional Experience
Research Geologist: USGS-ESC, 2023-present
Geologist: USGS-ESC, 2016-2023
Research Associate: Syracuse University, 2013-2105
NSF Postdoctoral Fellow: University of Vermont, 2011-2013
Education and Certifications
PhD: Yale University, 2011
BA: Carleton College, 2003
Science and Products
Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview
Data release for fault activity in the San Gabriel Mountains, USA: insights from landscape morphometrics, erosion rates, and fault-slip rates (ver. 2.0, November 2023)
Radiocarbon dates from the 2020 Bobcat Fire and 2013 Grand Fire, Western Transverse Ranges, California
Sediment properties, charcoal counts, and radiocarbon dates from the Pallett Creek paleoseismic site, San Gabriel Mountains, California (ver. 2.0, February 2024)
Beryllium-10 concentrations in depth profiles and surface clasts from terrace surfaces near Littlerock Creek, California
Remote survey of fragile geologic features for use as earthquake ground motion constraints, Oregon and Washington, USA
Data release for spatial and temporal analysis of geologically derived fault slip rates, Cucamonga Fault, California, USA
Updated Compilation of VS30 Data for the United States
Fault activity in the San Gabriel Mountains, southern California, USA: Insights from landscape morphometrics, erosion rates, and fault-slip rates
The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications
The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time‐averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation of epistemi
Spatial and temporal analysis of geologic slip rates, Cucamonga Fault, California, USA: Implications for along-strike applications and multi-fault rupture
Survey of fragile geologic features and their quasi-static earthquake ground-motion constraints, southern Oregon
Revised earthquake recurrence intervals in California, USA: New paleoseismic sites and application of event likelihoods
Toppling of a Trona Pinnacles Spire following the M5.5 RidgecrestaAftershock of June 2020
Holocene depositional history inferred from single-grain luminescence ages in southern California, North America
Prehistoric earthquakes on the Banning strand of the San Andreas fault, North Palm Springs, California
Characterizing stress orientations in southern Kansas
Evaluation of seismic hazard models with fragile geologic features
Documentation of Surface Fault Rupture and Ground‐Deformation Features Produced by the 4 and 5 July 2019 Mw 6.4 and Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence
Science and Products
- Data
Data Release for the 2023 U.S. 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview
This data release contains data sets associated with the 2023 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model Update. The 2023 50-State National Seimsic Hazard Model (NSHM) Update includes an update to the NSHMs for the conterminous U.S (CONUS, last updated in 2018), Alaska (AK, last updated in 2007), and Hawaii (last updated in 2001). Data sets include inputs like seismicity catalogs used as input to theData release for fault activity in the San Gabriel Mountains, USA: insights from landscape morphometrics, erosion rates, and fault-slip rates (ver. 2.0, November 2023)
This report summarizes geomorphic data and analysis from the range front and interior of the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA. For catchment-average erosion rates, we describe the methodology used to collect samples of detrital sediment, determine concentrations of cosmogenic beryllium-10 in purified quartz isolated from the samples, and use those nuclide concentrations to calculate erosionRadiocarbon dates from the 2020 Bobcat Fire and 2013 Grand Fire, Western Transverse Ranges, California
This data release provides radiocarbon data for burned plant material collected from deposits following two wildfires in southern California. For the 2020 Bobcat Fire we collected deposits in five stream channels within the Pallett Creek drainage in 2021. For the 2013 Grand Fire near Frazier Mountain, we sampled from two shallow pits excavated into alluvium deposited in 2014. The types of taxa preSediment properties, charcoal counts, and radiocarbon dates from the Pallett Creek paleoseismic site, San Gabriel Mountains, California (ver. 2.0, February 2024)
This data release provides geochemical, sedimentological, and geochronological data from interbedded fluvial and marsh deposits and radiocarbon dates of the section spanning the last 1500 years from the Pallett Creek paleoseismic site, California. The samples were collected to support paleoenvironmental reconstruction of the site and refine several previous investigations of paleoearthquakes alongBeryllium-10 concentrations in depth profiles and surface clasts from terrace surfaces near Littlerock Creek, California
This report summarizes the age-dating results from four terrace surfaces of the Littlerock Creek (map units T3g, T3c, T2, and T1c) that record cumulative strike-slip displacements ranging from 470 to 1080 meters along the Mojave section of the San Andreas Fault. Within this report are detailed the methodology used to collect samples of rock and sediment, determine concentrations of cosmogenic beryRemote survey of fragile geologic features for use as earthquake ground motion constraints, Oregon and Washington, USA
Fragile geologic features (FGFs) are elements of the landscape that are vulnerable to destruction during sufficiently strong earthquake ground shaking. As result, the observation of extant FGFs on the landscape may constrain the maximum intensity of past earthquake shaking. McPhillips and Scharer (2022, Survey of fragile geologic features and their quasi-static earthquake ground motion constraintsData release for spatial and temporal analysis of geologically derived fault slip rates, Cucamonga Fault, California, USA
This report summarizes the age-dating results from two alluvial fan surfaces (map units Qyf2 and Qyf3) that are broken by strands of the Cucamonga Fault, in southern California, at Day Canyon and Etiwanda Canyon. Within this report are detailed the methodology used to collect samples of rock and sediment, determine concentrations of cosmogenic beryllium-10 in purified quartz isolated from the sampUpdated Compilation of VS30 Data for the United States
VS30, the time-averaged shear-wave velocity (VS) to a depth of 30 meters, is a key index adopted by the earthquake engineering community to account for seismic site conditions. VS30 is typically based on geophysical measurements of VS derived from invasive and noninvasive techniques at sites of interest. Owing to cost considerations, as well as logistical and environmental concerns, VS30 data are - Publications
Filter Total Items: 19
Fault activity in the San Gabriel Mountains, southern California, USA: Insights from landscape morphometrics, erosion rates, and fault-slip rates
Many studies use landscape form to determine spatial patterns of tectonic deformation, and these are particularly effective when paired with independent measures of rock uplift and erosion. Here, we use morphometric analyses and 10Be catchment-averaged erosion rates, together with reverse slip rates from the Sierra Madre−Cucamonga fault zone, to reveal patterns in uplift, erosion, and fault activiAuthorsAndrew Meredith, Devin McPhillipsThe 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications
The US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated in 2023 for all 50 states using new science on seismicity, fault ruptures, ground motions, and probabilistic techniques to produce a standard of practice for public policy and other engineering applications (defined for return periods greater than ∼475 or less than ∼10,000 years). Changes in 2023 time-independent seismic hazard (both increaseAuthorsMark D. Petersen, Allison Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Edward H. Field, Morgan P. Moschetti, Kishor Jaiswal, Kevin R. Milner, Sanaz Rezaeian, Arthur Frankel, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Jason M. Altekruse, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Kyle Withers, Charles Mueller, Yuehua Zeng, Robert E. Chase, Leah M. Salditch, Nicolas Luco, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Julie A Herrick, Demi Leafar Girot, Brad T. Aagaard, Adrian Bender, Michael Blanpied, Richard W. Briggs, Oliver S. Boyd, Brandon Clayton, Christopher DuRoss, Eileen L. Evans, Peter J. Haeussler, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Kirstie Lafon Haynie, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Kaj M. Johnson, Zachary Alan Kortum, N. Simon Kwong, Andrew James Makdisi, Henry (Ben) Mason, Daniel McNamara, Devin McPhillips, P. Okubo, Morgan T. Page, Fred Pollitz, Justin Rubinstein, Bruce E. Shaw, Zheng-Kang Shen, Brian Shiro, James Andrew Smith, William J. Stephenson, Eric M. Thompson, Jessica Ann Thompson Jobe, Erin Wirth, Robert C. WitterThe USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time‐averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation of epistemi
AuthorsEdward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Peter M. Powers, Fred Pollitz, Andrea L. Llenos, Yuehua Zeng, Kaj M. Johnson, Bruce E. Shaw, Devin McPhillips, Jessica Ann Thompson Jobe, Allison Shumway, Andrew J. Michael, Zheng-Kang Shen, Eileen L. Evans, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Charles Mueller, Arthur Frankel, Mark D. Petersen, Christopher DuRoss, Richard W. Briggs, Morgan T. Page, Justin Rubinstein, Julie A HerrickSpatial and temporal analysis of geologic slip rates, Cucamonga Fault, California, USA: Implications for along-strike applications and multi-fault rupture
To constrain fault processes and hazard, fault slip rates may be extrapolated over different fault lengths or time intervals. Here, we investigate slip rates for the Cucamonga Fault (CF). The CF is located at the junction of the Transverse Range fault system with the San Andreas and San Jacinto Faults, and it is hypothesized to connect with these faults, promoting the propagation of large, multi-fAuthorsDevin McPhillips, Katherine ScharerSurvey of fragile geologic features and their quasi-static earthquake ground-motion constraints, southern Oregon
Fragile geologic features (FGFs), which are extant on the landscape but vulnerable to earthquake ground shaking, may provide geological constraints on the intensity of prior shaking. These empirical constraints are particularly important in regions such as the Pacific Northwest that have not experienced a megathrust earthquake in written history. Here, we describe our field survey of FGFs in southAuthorsDevin McPhillips, Katherine ScharerRevised earthquake recurrence intervals in California, USA: New paleoseismic sites and application of event likelihoods
Recurrence intervals for ground rupturing earthquakes are critical data for assessing seismic hazard. Recurrence intervals are presented here for 38 paleoseismic sites in California. Eleven of these include new or updated data; the remainder use data previously included in the Unified California Earthquake Rupture Forecast Version 3 (UCERF3). The methods and results are consistent with UCERF3. InAuthorsDevin McPhillipsToppling of a Trona Pinnacles Spire following the M5.5 RidgecrestaAftershock of June 2020
The 2019 Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest California earthquake rupture passed within 4 km of the Trona Pinnacles, a large group of tufa rock pillars. Reconnaissance following the Ridgecrest mainshock documented fresh damage to several of the Pinnacles. Repeated aerial photogrammetric surveys also documented damage during subsequent aftershocks. Here, we describe the photogrammetric data with emphasis on a speciAuthorsAndrea Donnellan, Joaquin Garcia-Suarez, Devin McPhillips, Domniki Asimaki, Christine Goulet, Xiaofeng Meng, Savannah Devine, Gregory LyzangaHolocene depositional history inferred from single-grain luminescence ages in southern California, North America
Significant sediment flux and deposition in a sedimentary system are influenced by climate changes, tectonics, lithology, and the sedimentary system's internal dynamics. Identifying the timing of depositional periods from stratigraphic records is a first step to critically evaluate the controls of sediment flux and deposition. Here, we show that ages of single-grain K-feldspar luminescence subpopuAuthorsSourav Saha, Seulgi Moon, Nathan D. Brown, Edward J. Rhodes, Katherine Scharer, Devin McPhillips, Sally F. McGill, Bryan A. CastilloPrehistoric earthquakes on the Banning strand of the San Andreas fault, North Palm Springs, California
We studied a paleoseismic trench excavated in 2017 across the Banning strand of the San Andreas fault and herein provide the first detailed record of ground-breaking earthquakes on this important fault in Southern California. The trench exposed an ~40-m-wide fault zone cutting through alluvial sand, gravel, silt, and clay deposits. We evaluated the paleoseismic record using a new metric that combiAuthorsBryan A. Castillo, Sally F. McGill, Katherine Scharer, Doug Yule, Devin McPhillips, James McNeil, Sourav Saha, Nathan D. Brown, Seulgi MoonCharacterizing stress orientations in southern Kansas
Induced seismicity predominantly occurs along faults that are optimally oriented to the local principal compressive stress direction, and the characterization of these stress orientations is an important component of understanding seismic hazards. The seismicity rate in southern Kansas rapidly increased in 2013 primarily due to the disposal of large volumes of wastewater into the Arbuckle Group. PAuthorsRobert Skoumal, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Kayla A. Kroll, Justin Rubinstein, Devin McPhillipsEvaluation of seismic hazard models with fragile geologic features
We provide an overview of a 2019 workshop on the use of fragile geologic features (FGFs) to evaluate seismic hazard models. FGFs have been scarcely utilized in the evaluation of seismic hazard models, despite nearly 30 yr having passed since the first recognition of their potential value. Recently, several studies have begun to focus on the implementation of FGFs in seismic hazard modeling. The woAuthorsMark W. Stirling, Mike Oskin, J. Ramon Arrowsmith, Anna H. Rood, Christine A. Goulet, Lisa Grant Ludwig, Tamarah King, Albert Kottke, Julian C. Lozos, Chris L M Madugo, Devin McPhillips, Dylan Rood, Norman Sleep, Christine WittichDocumentation of Surface Fault Rupture and Ground‐Deformation Features Produced by the 4 and 5 July 2019 Mw 6.4 and Mw 7.1 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence
The MwMw 6.4 and MwMw 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence occurred on 4 and 5 July 2019 within the eastern California shear zone of southern California. Both events produced extensive surface faulting and ground deformation within Indian Wells Valley and Searles Valley. In the weeks following the earthquakes, more than six dozen scientists from government, academia, and the private sector carefullyAuthorsDaniel J. Ponti, James Luke Blair, Rosa Carla M, Kate Thomas, Alexandra Pickering, Sinan Akciz, Stephen J. Angster, Jean-Philipe Avouac, Jeffrey Bachhuber, Steven Bacon, Nicolas C. Barth, S. Bennett, Kelly Blake, Stephan Bork, Benjamin A. Brooks, Thomas Bullard, Paul A. Burgess, Colin Chupik, Timothy E. Dawson, Michael DeFrisco, Jaime E. Delano, Stephen B. DeLong, James D. Dolan, Andrea Donnellan, Christopher DuRoss, Todd Ericksen, Erik Frost, Gareth J. Funning, Ryan D. Gold, Nicholas A Graehl, Carlos Gutierrez, Elizabeth Haddon, Alexandra Elise Hatem, John Helms, Janis Hernandez, Christopher S. Hitchcock, Peter Holland, Kenneth W. Hudnut, Katherine J. Kendrick, Richard D Koehler, Ozgur Kozaci, Tyler C. Ladinsky, Robert Leeper, Christopher Madugo, Maxime Mareschal, James McDonald, Devin McPhillips, Christopher Milliner, Daniel Mongovin, Alexander Morelan, Stephanie Nale, Johanna Nevitt, Matt O'Neal, Brian J. Olsen, Michael Oskin, Salena Padilla, Jason Patton, Belle E. Philibosian, Ian Pierce, Cynthia Pridmore, Nathaniel Roth, David Sandwell, Katherine Scharer, Gordon G. Seitz, Drake Singleton, Bridget Smith-Konter, Eleanor Spangler, Brian J. Swanson, Jessica Thompson Jobe, Jerome Treiman, Francesca Valencia, Joshua Vanderwal, Alana Williams, Xiaohua Xu, Judith Zachariasen, Jade Zimmerman, Robert Zinke