Kevin R Milner
Kevin Milner is a Research Geophysicist with the Earthquake Hazards Program.
Kevin develops earthquake forecast models for the USGS Earthquake Hazards Program. His research interests include uncertainty quantification and reduction in seismic hazard analysis, and physics-based earthquake and ground motion simulation. With a background in both computer and geological sciences, he specializes in using high performance computing to tackle complex research problems.
Professional Experience
Research Geophysicist, USGS Geologic Hazards Science Center (2024–Present)
Computer Scientist, Southern California Earthquake Center (2008–2024)
Education and Certifications
PhD (Geological Sciences); University of Southern California, 2020
MS (Geological Sciences); University of Southern California, 2015
BS (Computer Sciences); University of Southern California, 2007
Science and Products
A prototype operational earthquake loss model for California based on UCERF3-ETAS – A first look at valuation
A synoptic view of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
Trimming a hazard logic tree with a new model-order-reduction technique
A spatiotemporal clustering model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an operational earthquake forecast
Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
The UCERF3 grand inversion: Solving for the long‐term rate of ruptures in a fault system
Stress-based aftershock forecasts made within 24h post mainshock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M=6.0 West Napa earthquake
Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3): the time-independent model
Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree
CyberShake: A Physics-Based Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California
Forecasting California's earthquakes— What can we expect in the next 30 years?
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Science and Products
A prototype operational earthquake loss model for California based on UCERF3-ETAS – A first look at valuation
A synoptic view of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
Trimming a hazard logic tree with a new model-order-reduction technique
A spatiotemporal clustering model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an operational earthquake forecast
Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
The UCERF3 grand inversion: Solving for the long‐term rate of ruptures in a fault system
Stress-based aftershock forecasts made within 24h post mainshock: Expected north San Francisco Bay area seismicity changes after the 2014 M=6.0 West Napa earthquake
Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3): the time-independent model
Trimming the UCERF2 hazard logic tree
CyberShake: A Physics-Based Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California
Forecasting California's earthquakes— What can we expect in the next 30 years?
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.