The Challenge: For decades, capture-recapture methods have been the cornerstone of ecological statistics as applied to population biology. While capture-recapture has become the standard sampling and analytical framework for the study of population processes (Williams, Nichols & Conroy 2002) it has advanced independent of and remained unconnected to the spatial structure of the population or the landscape within which populations exist. Furthermore, capture-recapture does not invoke any spatially explicit biological processes and thus is distinctly non-spatial, accounting neither for the inherent spatial nature of the sampling nor of the spatial distribution of individual encounters. Linking observed encounter histories of individuals to mechanisms of spatial population ecology will enable ecologists to study these processes using new technologies such as noninvasive genetics, remote cameras and bioacoustic sampling (Figure 1 under the Science Tab).
The Science: Spatial capture-recapture methods represent an extension of classical capture-recapture and allows for both the spatial organization of sampling devices and the spatial information that is inherent in essentially all studies of animal populations, i.e., spatial encounter histories. By coupling a spatio-temporal point process with a spatially explicit observation model (Figure 2), SCR has emerged as a flexible framework that allows ecologists to test hypotheses about a wide range of ecological theories including resource selection (Figure 3), landscape and network connectivity (Figure 4), demography and movement and dispersal. While classical capture-recapture methods focus on population level quantities, SCR models allow for the “downscaling” of population structure from coarse summaries (spatial and/or demographic) into finer-scale components by the use of a spatially explicit individual-based point process model.
The Future: It is possible to use SCR with individual encounter history data to inform landscape management decisions such as corridor and reserve design. Because SCR models provide spatially explicit within-population information about density, they provide objective inferences about where the population is distributed in space and why. Therefore, SCR can serve as an empirical framework for characterizing the utility of landscapes to populations. In particular, when combined with explicit models of connectivity spatially explicit metrics which integrate information about both density and connectivity (Sutherland et al. 2015; Fuller et al. 2016; Morin et al. 2016) can be estimated.
There has been considerable attention paid to the problem of uncertain identity in capture-recapture . However, such methods have developed in the context of classical capture-recapture methods which ignore the spatial information inherent in most animal population sampling studies. On the other hand, for most populations we should expect that the spatial location of samples should be informative about the uncertain identity of those samples (Augustine et al. 2016). That is, all other things being equal, spatial samples that are in close spatial proximity to one another should more likely be of the same individual than samples that are far apart. Thus, dealing effectively with an uncertain identity of an individual is fundamentally a spatial problem for which SCR offers a solution.
Below are publications associated with this project.
Estimating population density and connectivity of American mink using spatial capture-recapture
Modelling non-Euclidean movement and landscape connectivity in highly structured ecological networks
Spatially explicit models for inference about density in unmarked or partially marked populations
Integrating resource selection information with spatial capture--recapture
Spatial capture-recapture models for jointly estimating population density and landscape connectivity
Below are partners associated with this project.
- Overview
The Challenge: For decades, capture-recapture methods have been the cornerstone of ecological statistics as applied to population biology. While capture-recapture has become the standard sampling and analytical framework for the study of population processes (Williams, Nichols & Conroy 2002) it has advanced independent of and remained unconnected to the spatial structure of the population or the landscape within which populations exist. Furthermore, capture-recapture does not invoke any spatially explicit biological processes and thus is distinctly non-spatial, accounting neither for the inherent spatial nature of the sampling nor of the spatial distribution of individual encounters. Linking observed encounter histories of individuals to mechanisms of spatial population ecology will enable ecologists to study these processes using new technologies such as noninvasive genetics, remote cameras and bioacoustic sampling (Figure 1 under the Science Tab).
The Science: Spatial capture-recapture methods represent an extension of classical capture-recapture and allows for both the spatial organization of sampling devices and the spatial information that is inherent in essentially all studies of animal populations, i.e., spatial encounter histories. By coupling a spatio-temporal point process with a spatially explicit observation model (Figure 2), SCR has emerged as a flexible framework that allows ecologists to test hypotheses about a wide range of ecological theories including resource selection (Figure 3), landscape and network connectivity (Figure 4), demography and movement and dispersal. While classical capture-recapture methods focus on population level quantities, SCR models allow for the “downscaling” of population structure from coarse summaries (spatial and/or demographic) into finer-scale components by the use of a spatially explicit individual-based point process model.
The Future: It is possible to use SCR with individual encounter history data to inform landscape management decisions such as corridor and reserve design. Because SCR models provide spatially explicit within-population information about density, they provide objective inferences about where the population is distributed in space and why. Therefore, SCR can serve as an empirical framework for characterizing the utility of landscapes to populations. In particular, when combined with explicit models of connectivity spatially explicit metrics which integrate information about both density and connectivity (Sutherland et al. 2015; Fuller et al. 2016; Morin et al. 2016) can be estimated.
There has been considerable attention paid to the problem of uncertain identity in capture-recapture . However, such methods have developed in the context of classical capture-recapture methods which ignore the spatial information inherent in most animal population sampling studies. On the other hand, for most populations we should expect that the spatial location of samples should be informative about the uncertain identity of those samples (Augustine et al. 2016). That is, all other things being equal, spatial samples that are in close spatial proximity to one another should more likely be of the same individual than samples that are far apart. Thus, dealing effectively with an uncertain identity of an individual is fundamentally a spatial problem for which SCR offers a solution.
- Publications
Below are publications associated with this project.
Estimating population density and connectivity of American mink using spatial capture-recapture
Estimating the abundance or density of populations is fundamental to the conservation and management of species, and as landscapes become more fragmented, maintaining landscape connectivity has become one of the most important challenges for biodiversity conservation. Yet these two issues have never been formally integrated together in a model that simultaneously models abundance while accountingAuthorsAngela K. Fuller, Christopher S. Sutherland, Andy Royle, Matthew P. HareModelling non-Euclidean movement and landscape connectivity in highly structured ecological networks
Movement is influenced by landscape structure, configuration and geometry, but measuring distance as perceived by animals poses technical and logistical challenges. Instead, movement is typically measured using Euclidean distance, irrespective of location or landscape structure, or is based on arbitrary cost surfaces. A recently proposed extension of spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models resolveAuthorsChristopher Sutherland, Angela K. Fuller, J. Andrew RoyleSpatially explicit models for inference about density in unmarked or partially marked populations
Recently developed spatial capture–recapture (SCR) models represent a major advance over traditional capture–recapture (CR) models because they yield explicit estimates of animal density instead of population size within an unknown area. Furthermore, unlike nonspatial CR methods, SCR models account for heterogeneity in capture probability arising from the juxtaposition of animal activity centers aAuthorsRichard B. Chandler, J. Andrew RoyleIntegrating resource selection information with spatial capture--recapture
1. Understanding space usage and resource selection is a primary focus of many studies of animal populations. Usually, such studies are based on location data obtained from telemetry, and resource selection functions (RSFs) are used for inference. Another important focus of wildlife research is estimation and modeling population size and density. Recently developed spatial capture–recapture (SCR)AuthorsJ. Andrew Royle, Richard B. Chandler, Catherine C. Sun, Angela K. FullerSpatial capture-recapture models for jointly estimating population density and landscape connectivity
Population size and landscape connectivity are key determinants of population viability, yet no methods exist for simultaneously estimating density and connectivity parameters. Recently developed spatial capture–recapture (SCR) models provide a framework for estimating density of animal populations but thus far have not been used to study connectivity. Rather, all applications of SCR models have uAuthorsJ. Andrew Royle, Richard B. Chandler, Kimberly D. Gazenski, Tabitha A. Graves - Partners
Below are partners associated with this project.