Publications
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The 1960 tsunami on beach-ridge plains near Maullín, Chile: Landward descent, renewed breaches, aggraded fans, multiple predecessors The 1960 tsunami on beach-ridge plains near Maullín, Chile: Landward descent, renewed breaches, aggraded fans, multiple predecessors
The Chilean tsunami of 22 May 1960 reamed out a breach and built up a fan as it flowed across a sparsely inhabited beach-ridge plain near Maullín, midway along the length of the tsunami source. Eyewitnesses to the flooding, interviewed mainly in 1988 and 1989, identified levels that the tsunami had reached on high ground, trees, and build- ings. The maximum levels fell, from about 10 m...
Authors
Brian F. Atwater, Marco Cisternas, E. Yulianto, A. Prendergast, K. Jankaew, A. Eipert, Warnakulasuriya Fernando, Iwan Tejakusuma, Ignacio Schiappacasse, Yuki Sawai
Stable stress‐drop measurements and their variability: Implications for ground‐motion prediction Stable stress‐drop measurements and their variability: Implications for ground‐motion prediction
We estimate the arms‐stress drop, Graphic, (Hanks, 1979) using acceleration time records of 59 earthquakes from two earthquake sequences in eastern Honshu, Japan. These acceleration‐based static stress drops compare well to stress drops calculated for the same events by Baltay et al. (2011) using an empirical Green’s function (eGf) approach. This agreement supports the assumption that...
Authors
Thomas C. Hanks, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Gregory C. Beroza
The 2011 M = 9.0 Tohoku oki earthquake more than doubled the probability of large shocks beneath Tokyo The 2011 M = 9.0 Tohoku oki earthquake more than doubled the probability of large shocks beneath Tokyo
1] The Kanto seismic corridor surrounding Tokyo has hosted four to five M ≥ 7 earthquakes in the past 400 years. Immediately after the Tohoku earthquake, the seismicity rate in the corridor jumped 10-fold, while the rate of normal focal mechanisms dropped in half. The seismicity rate decayed for 6–12 months, after which it steadied at three times the pre-Tohoku rate. The seismicity rate...
Authors
Shinji Toda, Ross S. Stein
Re‐estimated effects of deep episodic slip on the occurrence and probability of great earthquakes in Cascadia Re‐estimated effects of deep episodic slip on the occurrence and probability of great earthquakes in Cascadia
Mazzotti and Adams (2004) estimated that rapid deep slip during typically two week long episodes beneath northern Washington and southern British Columbia increases the probability of a great Cascadia earthquake by 30–100 times relative to the probability during the ∼58 weeks between slip events. Because the corresponding absolute probability remains very low at ∼0.03% per week, their...
Authors
Nicholas M. Beeler, Evelyn A. Roeloffs, Wendy McCausland
Use of fragile geologic structures as indicators of unexceeded ground motions and direct constraints on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis Use of fragile geologic structures as indicators of unexceeded ground motions and direct constraints on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis
We present a quantitative procedure for constraining probabilistic seismic hazard analysis results at a given site, based on the existence of fragile geologic structures at that site. We illustrate this procedure by analyzing precarious rocks and undamaged lithophysae at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. The key metric is the probability that the feature would have survived to the present day...
Authors
J. W. Baker, John W. Whitney, Thomas C. Hanks, Norman A. Abramson, Mark P. Board
Seismicity of the Earth 1900-2012 Philippine Sea plate and vicinity Seismicity of the Earth 1900-2012 Philippine Sea plate and vicinity
The complex tectonics surrounding the Philippine Islands are dominated by the interactions of the Pacific, Sunda, and Eurasia plates with the Philippine Sea plate (PSP). The latter is unique because it is almost exclusively surrounded by zones of plate convergence. At its eastern and southeastern edges, the Pacific plate is subducted beneath the PSP at the Izu-Bonin, Mariana, and Yap...
Authors
Gregory M. Smoczyk, Gavin P. Hayes, Michael W. Hamburger, Harley M. Benz, Antonio H. Villasenor, Kevin P. Furlong
Tensor-guided fitting of subduction slab depths Tensor-guided fitting of subduction slab depths
Geophysical measurements are often acquired at scattered locations in space. Therefore, interpolating or fitting the sparsely sampled data as a uniform function of space (a procedure commonly known as gridding) is a ubiquitous problem in geophysics. Most gridding methods require a model of spatial correlation for data. This spatial correlation model can often be inferred from some sort...
Authors
Farhad Bazargani, Gavin P. Hayes
Ground-motion prediction from tremor Ground-motion prediction from tremor
The widespread occurrence of tremor, coupled with its frequency content and location, provides an exceptional opportunity to test and improve strong ground-motion attenuation relations for subduction zones. We characterize the amplitude of thousands of individual 5 min tremor events in Cascadia during three episodic tremor and slip events to constrain the distance decay of peak ground...
Authors
Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Gregory C. Beroza
Seismic Station Installation Orientation Errors at ANSS and IRIS/USGS Stations Seismic Station Installation Orientation Errors at ANSS and IRIS/USGS Stations
Many seismological studies depend on the published orientations of sensitive axes of seismic instruments relative to north (e.g., Li et al., 2011). For example, studies of the anisotropic structure of the Earth’s mantle through SKS‐splitting measurements (Long et al., 2009), constraints on core–mantle electromagnetic coupling from torsional normal‐mode measurements (Dumberry and Mound...
Authors
Adam T. Ringler, Charles R. Hutt, K. Persfield, Lind S. Gee
Seismotectonic framework of the 2010 February 27 Mw 8.8 Maule, Chile earthquake sequence Seismotectonic framework of the 2010 February 27 Mw 8.8 Maule, Chile earthquake sequence
After the 2010 Mw 8.8 Maule earthquake, an international collaboration involving teams and instruments from Chile, the US, the UK, France and Germany established the International Maule Aftershock Deployment temporary network over the source region of the event to facilitate detailed, open-access studies of the aftershock sequence. Using data from the first 9-months of this deployment...
Authors
Gavin P. Hayes, Eric Bergman, Kendra J. Johnson, Harley M. Benz, Lucy Brown, Anne S. Meltzer
The Mw 5.8 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake of August 2011 and aftershock sequence: constraints on earthquake source parameters and fault geometry The Mw 5.8 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake of August 2011 and aftershock sequence: constraints on earthquake source parameters and fault geometry
The Mw 5.8 earthquake of 23 August 2011 (17:51:04 UTC) (moment, M0 5.7×1017 N·m) occurred near Mineral, Virginia, within the central Virginia seismic zone and was felt by more people than any other earthquake in United States history. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) received 148,638 felt reports from 31 states and 4 Canadian provinces. The USGS PAGER system estimates as many as 120...
Authors
Daniel E. McNamara, H.M. Benz, Robert B. Herrmann, Eric A. Bergman, Paul Earle, Anne Meltzer, Mitch Withers, Martin Chapman
A scenario study of seismically induced landsliding in Seattle using broadband synthetic seismograms A scenario study of seismically induced landsliding in Seattle using broadband synthetic seismograms
We demonstrate the value of utilizing broadband synthetic seismograms to assess regional seismically induced landslide hazard. Focusing on a case study of an Mw 7.0 Seattle fault earthquake in Seattle, Washington, we computed broadband synthetic seismograms that account for rupture directivity and 3D basin amplification. We then adjusted the computed motions on a fine grid for 1D...
Authors
Kate E. Allstadt, John E. Vidale, Arthur D. Frankel