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In a new study, researchers review current approaches used by federal agencies to estimate recreational visitation to their lands and waters, as well as new and emerging approaches to estimate visitation. 

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Camping Site at Thousand Island Lake
Camping at Thousand Island Lake, within the Sierra and Inyo National Forests.

 

Federal lands and waters received almost a billion recreational visits per year in recent years, the equivalent of each person in the United States visiting federal lands and waters almost three times a year. Each year, agencies that manage federal lands and waters estimate how many people visited their recreation sites because visitation data are crucial for outdoor recreation planning, decision-making, and managing resources effectively. For example, visitation estimates can inform what visitor services are offered (like, interpretive programs, emergency services, facilities and bathrooms), where staffing is needed, and where investments to improve infrastructure are most warranted. 

Social scientists at the U.S. Geological Survey Fort Collins Science Center partnered with researchers from the University of Washington and Department of the Interior to document the approaches agencies commonly use to estimate visitation and review approaches that are less commonly used. 

Estimating visitation can be a challenging task; it may be straightforward to count visitors to places like museums where every visitor pays an entrance fee, but many public lands and waters are free to visit and have numerous entrance and exit points. Agencies use a variety of different methods to navigate this challenge based on the characteristics and context of different locations. Common methods to estimating visitation across agencies include using sensors that count traffic on roads or trails, direct observation of visitors, visitor surveys, and administrative data such as entrance fees, permits, or trail registers. Often, multiple sources of data are combined to generate the most accurate estimates. 

This report also reviews recent research into new and emerging data and approaches for estimating visitation. Digital mobility data based on locations of mobile devices and geolocated social media are the most studied new source of information on visitation. While these data have underlying biases, they can be effective for measuring visitation when calibrated using on-the-ground counts. 

Mather Point - Grand Canyon
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six people in shadow hold bikes over their heads, sunsetting in the background
E-biking in Montana's Acton Recreation Area.

 

The Expanding Public Lands Outdoor Recreation Experiences (EXPLORE) Act calls for Federal agencies to: report accurate annual visitation data in a consistent manner for each unit of Federal recreational lands and waters in a single reporting system; develop a pilot program for using real-time or predictive data; and advance modeling of recreation use patterns not effectively measured by existing data collection methods. This report is intended to support the implementation of provisions in the EXPLORE Act related to recreation visitation data, as well as provide opportunities to enhance visitation estimation and coordination across federal agencies. 

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