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Tropical Storm Beryl, which is responsible for at least 11 deaths as it wreaked havoc in the Caribbean islands earlier in this week, is projected to strengthen to a Category 1 hurricane before striking the coast of Texas late Sunday or early Monday, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. 

While severe weather disaster declarations have already been issued for 40 Texas counties, coastal change experts at the U.S. Geological Survey are forecasting Beryl might do some damage to Texas’ coastline. 

Beryl is currently likely to cause 68% of Texas’ coastal sand dunes some erosion, 16% of dunes may experience overwash (when waves and water levels reach higher than the top of dunes), and less than 1% of Texas’ coastline may face inundation (when dunes are continually covered by water), according to the latest USGS Coastal Change Forecast, found here

The USGS Coastal Change Forecasts provide vital information during coastal storms that can help emergency management officials decide which areas to evacuate, where and when to close coastal roads and where to position clean-up equipment in advance of a storm.

Flash and urban flooding is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas beginning Sunday through midweek, according to the NHC. Additionally, life-threatening storm surge in portions of Mexico and coastal Texas is possible late Sunday into Monday along with rip current conditions across much of the Gulf Coast through the weekend. 

The most current forecast is always available on the USGS Coastal Change Hazards PortalReal-time coastal change forecasts for individual locations along the coast are also available in the Total Water Level and Coastal Change Forecast Viewer.

As the USGS continues to take all appropriate preparedness actions in response to Beryl, those in the storm’s projected path can visit or for tips on creating emergency plans and putting together an emergency supply kit.


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