The Central and Eastern U.S. (CEUS) is subject primarily to moderate earthquakes like the 2011 Virginia Mw5.8 earthquake, the ongoing induced earthquakes primarily in the central U.S., the ongoing 2019-2020 earthquake sequence in southern Puerto Rico, and the 2020 M5.1 earthquake in North Carolina. These earthquakes have all caused moderate to light damage, but they highlight the potential for a larger, much more devastating earthquake like the 1811-1812 New Madrid sequence of M~7–7.5 earthquakes or the 1886 M~7 that severely damaged Charleston, SC. The causes of these earthquakes are not fully understood, and they are rare enough that we do not have a lot of examples to study. Understanding these earthquakes is therefore a difficult task.
Causative faults for Central and Eastern U.S. (CEUS) earthquakes are difficult to pinpoint because strain rates are low and earthquakes are rarely associated with clear young surface faulting. Very few fault systems in the CEUS have long-term paleoseismic records compared to the western U.S. Low rates of seismicity across much of the region and infrequent damaging earthquakes create large uncertainty in the seismic hazard. Our goal is to conduct targeted geologic, geomorphic, stratigraphic, and remote sensing research in the CEUS to obtain paleoseismic data to reduce hazard uncertainties.
Current areas of focus in the CEUS include the Eastern Tennessee Seismic Zone, and Charleston, South Carolina. In contrast to the continental part of the CEUS, Puerto Rico is an active plate margin above a subduction zone. As such, it has far more earthquake activity than the continental CEUS and has the potential for large subduction-zone earthquakes and associated tsunamis. In Puerto Rico, the objective is to identify and characterize active faults in the region, as well as examine the ground motions that occur during earthquakes. Such studies include both on-land fault systems and offshore faults such as those associated with the subduction zone.
The research methods used in this project vary widely, but all have the goal of better understanding the distribution of active faults, the earthquake history of the CEUS and Puerto Rico, ground motions that may result from these earthquakes, and the underlying causes of seismicity within this stable continental plate.
Our overarching approach is to use paleoseismic, geomorphic, stratigraphic, and remote sensing techniques to extend the geologic record of faulting back in time through targeted studies.

Aftershocks are normal and some will be larger than others, but there will be fewer over time.M3+
earthquakes will occur daily for months, and then weekly for years.YEARLY CHANCE OF M5+currently >99% and will stay over 50% for 3 – 10 yearsYEARLY CHANCE OF M6+currently 50% and will stay over 25% for 3 months – 3 yearsYEARLY CHANCE OF M7+currently 8% and will stay over 5% for 1 – 10 monthsYEARLY CHANCE OF M7+will stay over 1% for 2 – 10 yearsThe yearly chance is the likelihood of an earthquake happening any time within a year-long period. Future aftershocks will be located in the same area as past events. These aftershocks do not change the risk on other parts of Puerto Rico.* The results in this report are based on the current behavior (as of January 17, 2020) of this aftershock sequence and may need to be modified if that behavior changes, including if a larger earthquake occurs. ----------Although earthquakes are normal in Puerto Rico they can be unsettling. Feeling anxious or stressed? 1-800-981-0023
La Línea PAS (Primera Ayuda Sicosocial) Crisis CounselorsA special thanks to our Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) partner, the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) at University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez. Background: Building destruction in Puerto Rico, January 2020. i) Forecast Report at www.usgs.gov/pr-forecast-2020
USGS Identifier
Science for a Changing WorldFederal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
U.S. Department of the Interior
U.S. Geological Survey

10km, S de Indios, Puerto Rico
486 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M5.8
13km, SSE de Indios, Puerto Rico
934 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M6.4
8km, S de Indios, Puerto Rico
2,420 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M5.9
13km, SE de Guánica, Puerto Rico
1,302 Respuestas a Lo sentiste? Ciencia en Acción
Los científicos del USGS Thomas L. Pratt y Alena L. Leads, junto a la Dra. Elizabeth Vanacore, profesora asociada de investigación en la Universidad de Puerto Rico, analizan datos entre réplicas registrados en los equipos de monitoreo continuo de terremotos en la costa sur de la isla. Información sobre el Pronóstico del Terremoto M6.4
www.usgs.gov/pr-2020-es Un agradecimiento especial a nuestro colaborador del Sistema Sísmico Nacional Avanzado (ANSS), la Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (PRSN) en la Universidad de Puerto Rico en Mayagüez.
Superior izquierda, el científico Jim Smith, trabajando en el cableado dentro de la represa Lucchetti en Puerto Rico, septiembre 2019, ayudando al Programa de Movimiento Fuerte de Puerto Rico en los esfuerzos de recuperación del Huracán María.
Inferior medio: José Cancel de la Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (PRSN), Alena Leeds del USGS y Javier Santiago de PRSN instalan un sismómetro temporero en Sabana Yeguas en el suroeste de Puerto Rico el 10 de enero, 2020.
Trasfondo y derecha: daños en Puerto Rico, enero, 2020. U.S. Department of the Interior
U.S. Geological Survey
- Overview
The Central and Eastern U.S. (CEUS) is subject primarily to moderate earthquakes like the 2011 Virginia Mw5.8 earthquake, the ongoing induced earthquakes primarily in the central U.S., the ongoing 2019-2020 earthquake sequence in southern Puerto Rico, and the 2020 M5.1 earthquake in North Carolina. These earthquakes have all caused moderate to light damage, but they highlight the potential for a larger, much more devastating earthquake like the 1811-1812 New Madrid sequence of M~7–7.5 earthquakes or the 1886 M~7 that severely damaged Charleston, SC. The causes of these earthquakes are not fully understood, and they are rare enough that we do not have a lot of examples to study. Understanding these earthquakes is therefore a difficult task.
Photo of chimney damage at a house in Louisa County, Virginia. This was a result from a magnitude 5.8 earthquake in Virginia on August 23, 2011. Causative faults for Central and Eastern U.S. (CEUS) earthquakes are difficult to pinpoint because strain rates are low and earthquakes are rarely associated with clear young surface faulting. Very few fault systems in the CEUS have long-term paleoseismic records compared to the western U.S. Low rates of seismicity across much of the region and infrequent damaging earthquakes create large uncertainty in the seismic hazard. Our goal is to conduct targeted geologic, geomorphic, stratigraphic, and remote sensing research in the CEUS to obtain paleoseismic data to reduce hazard uncertainties.
Current areas of focus in the CEUS include the Eastern Tennessee Seismic Zone, and Charleston, South Carolina. In contrast to the continental part of the CEUS, Puerto Rico is an active plate margin above a subduction zone. As such, it has far more earthquake activity than the continental CEUS and has the potential for large subduction-zone earthquakes and associated tsunamis. In Puerto Rico, the objective is to identify and characterize active faults in the region, as well as examine the ground motions that occur during earthquakes. Such studies include both on-land fault systems and offshore faults such as those associated with the subduction zone.
The research methods used in this project vary widely, but all have the goal of better understanding the distribution of active faults, the earthquake history of the CEUS and Puerto Rico, ground motions that may result from these earthquakes, and the underlying causes of seismicity within this stable continental plate.
Our overarching approach is to use paleoseismic, geomorphic, stratigraphic, and remote sensing techniques to extend the geologic record of faulting back in time through targeted studies.
Sources/Usage: Public Domain. Visit Media to see details.The U.S. Geological Survey has released a report on the potential duration of aftershocks of the 2020 Southwest Puerto Rico earthquake sequence (series) to guide public policy decisions, other actions, and help people stay safe and care for themselves and each other.i) AFTERSHOCK FORECAST*
Aftershocks are normal and some will be larger than others, but there will be fewer over time.M3+
earthquakes will occur daily for months, and then weekly for years.YEARLY CHANCE OF M5+currently >99% and will stay over 50% for 3 – 10 yearsYEARLY CHANCE OF M6+currently 50% and will stay over 25% for 3 months – 3 yearsYEARLY CHANCE OF M7+currently 8% and will stay over 5% for 1 – 10 monthsYEARLY CHANCE OF M7+will stay over 1% for 2 – 10 yearsThe yearly chance is the likelihood of an earthquake happening any time within a year-long period. Future aftershocks will be located in the same area as past events. These aftershocks do not change the risk on other parts of Puerto Rico.* The results in this report are based on the current behavior (as of January 17, 2020) of this aftershock sequence and may need to be modified if that behavior changes, including if a larger earthquake occurs. ----------Although earthquakes are normal in Puerto Rico they can be unsettling. Feeling anxious or stressed? 1-800-981-0023
La Línea PAS (Primera Ayuda Sicosocial) Crisis CounselorsA special thanks to our Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS) partner, the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) at University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez. Background: Building destruction in Puerto Rico, January 2020. i) Forecast Report at www.usgs.gov/pr-forecast-2020
USGS Identifier
Science for a Changing WorldFederal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
U.S. Department of the Interior
U.S. Geological SurveyThe figure above shows the distribution of seismicity southwest of Puerto Rico in December 2019 and January 2020. Earthquake symbols are sized by magnitude and colored according to the time of the earthquake relative to December 28, 2019. Sources/Usage: Public Domain. Visit Media to see details.Terremotos detectados entre diciembre 28, 2019 hasta enero 16, 2020. Sujeto a actualizaciones.>300 M3+ terremotos* registradosdesde dic 28, 2019 (dentro de 40km) suficientemente fuerte como para ser sentido10 M5+ terremotos* registradosdesde dic 28, 2019 (incluyendo el de M6.4) suficientemente grande como para causar daño*Data hasta 2020-01-16 19:38-30 (UTC) M5.0
10km, S de Indios, Puerto Rico
486 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M5.8
13km, SSE de Indios, Puerto Rico
934 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M6.4
8km, S de Indios, Puerto Rico
2,420 Respuestas a Lo sentiste?M5.9
13km, SE de Guánica, Puerto Rico
1,302 Respuestas a Lo sentiste? Ciencia en Acción
Los científicos del USGS Thomas L. Pratt y Alena L. Leads, junto a la Dra. Elizabeth Vanacore, profesora asociada de investigación en la Universidad de Puerto Rico, analizan datos entre réplicas registrados en los equipos de monitoreo continuo de terremotos en la costa sur de la isla. Información sobre el Pronóstico del Terremoto M6.4
www.usgs.gov/pr-2020-es Un agradecimiento especial a nuestro colaborador del Sistema Sísmico Nacional Avanzado (ANSS), la Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (PRSN) en la Universidad de Puerto Rico en Mayagüez.
Superior izquierda, el científico Jim Smith, trabajando en el cableado dentro de la represa Lucchetti en Puerto Rico, septiembre 2019, ayudando al Programa de Movimiento Fuerte de Puerto Rico en los esfuerzos de recuperación del Huracán María.
Inferior medio: José Cancel de la Red Sísmica de Puerto Rico (PRSN), Alena Leeds del USGS y Javier Santiago de PRSN instalan un sismómetro temporero en Sabana Yeguas en el suroeste de Puerto Rico el 10 de enero, 2020.
Trasfondo y derecha: daños en Puerto Rico, enero, 2020. U.S. Department of the Interior
U.S. Geological Survey