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Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model

January 1, 2011

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country. ?? 2011 Department of Forest Economics, SLU Ume??, Sweden.

Citation Information

Publication Year 2011
Title Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model
DOI 10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008
Authors J. Buongiorno, R. Raunikar, S. Zhu
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Journal of Forest Economics
Index ID 70033855
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse