Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance
October 1, 2016
Expert elicitation is a rigorous method for synthesizing expert knowledge to inform decision making and is reliable and practical when field data are limited. We evaluated the feasibility of applying expert elicitation to estimate population-level effects of disturbance on marine mammals. Diverse experts estimated parameters related to mortality and sublethal injury of North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis). We are now eliciting expert knowledge on the movement of right whales among geographic regions to parameterize a spatial model of health. Expert elicitation complements methods such as simulation models or extrapolations from other species, sometimes with greater accuracy and less uncertainty.
Citation Information
Publication Year | 2016 |
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Title | Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance |
DOI | 10.1007/978-1-4939-2981-8_35 |
Authors | Erica Fleishman, Mark Burgman, Michael C. Runge, Robert S Schick, Scott Krauss |
Publication Type | Book Chapter |
Publication Subtype | Book Chapter |
Index ID | 70160312 |
Record Source | USGS Publications Warehouse |
USGS Organization | Patuxent Wildlife Research Center |