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Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance

October 1, 2016

Expert elicitation is a rigorous method for synthesizing expert knowledge to inform decision making and is reliable and practical when field data are limited. We evaluated the feasibility of applying expert elicitation to estimate population-level effects of disturbance on marine mammals. Diverse experts estimated parameters related to mortality and sublethal injury of North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis). We are now eliciting expert knowledge on the movement of right whales among geographic regions to parameterize a spatial model of health. Expert elicitation complements methods such as simulation models or extrapolations from other species, sometimes with greater accuracy and less uncertainty.

Citation Information

Publication Year 2016
Title Expert elicitation of population-level effects of disturbance
DOI 10.1007/978-1-4939-2981-8_35
Authors Erica Fleishman, Mark Burgman, Michael C. Runge, Robert S Schick, Scott Krauss
Publication Type Book Chapter
Publication Subtype Book Chapter
Series Title
Series Number
Index ID 70160312
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Patuxent Wildlife Research Center