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Near term climate projections for invasive species distributions

January 1, 2009

Climate change and invasive species pose important conservation issues separately, and should be examined together. We used existing long term climate datasets for the US to project potential climate change into the future at a finer spatial and temporal resolution than the climate change scenarios generally available. These fine scale projections, along with new species distribution modeling techniques to forecast the potential extent of invasive species, can provide useful information to aide conservation and invasive species management efforts. We created habitat suitability maps for Pueraria montana (kudzu) under current climatic conditions and potential average conditions up to 30 years in the future. We examined how the potential distribution of this species will be affected by changing climate, and the management implications associated with these changes. Our models indicated that P. montana may increase its distribution particularly in the Northeast with climate change and may decrease in other areas. ?? 2008 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.

Citation Information

Publication Year 2009
Title Near term climate projections for invasive species distributions
DOI 10.1007/s10530-008-9345-8
Authors C. S. Jarnevich, T.J. Stohlgren
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Biological Invasions
Series Number
Index ID 70034923
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization