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Tracking decadal changes in frequent fire activity across the southeastern U.S. (2000-2019): Insights from Southeast FireMap

July 24, 2026

Background

The dominant natural habitats in the southeastern United States depend on frequent fire ignited by humans or lightning. However, fire activity has sharply declined in the region since the early 1900s, and reduced fire activity has degraded natural habitats and increased wildfire risk. Identifying changes in fire use during recent decades is necessary to guide the conservation of fire-dependent wildlife, management of hazardous fuels, and identify areas where increased fire use could improve ecosystem resilience. To address this need, we created the Southeast FireMap dataset by fine-tuning the United States Geological Survey’s Landsat Burned Area product to track burned area, and provide a fire history across the southeastern United States. We used the Southeast FireMap data to quantify changes in areas frequently burned, as measured by areas with multiple burns within a decade. We compared the periods 2000–2009 and 2010–2019 to identify where frequently burned area is increasing or declining. We examined patterns of change across ownership, land cover, and soil orders to provide geographic context, and we considered future implications of these changes for land use categories of ecological interest. 

Results

Frequently burned area increased between decades across the region. This increase occurred on both private and public lands, in upland vegetation types, and on upland soils, though these increases were moderately offset by decreased wetland burning and its associated soil orders. However, changes varied among states, with burned area decreasing in some states. 

Conclusions

The overall increase in frequently burned area across the region reflects a summation of positive and negative shifts associated with specific combinations of physiography, ownership class, and government jurisdiction. Southeast FireMap marks a significant advancement in our ability to identify changes in prescribed burning within the geographic and cultural contexts that will likely influence the complex future of fire in the region.

Publication Year 2026
Title Tracking decadal changes in frequent fire activity across the southeastern U.S. (2000-2019): Insights from Southeast FireMap
DOI 10.1186/s42408-026-00561-w
Authors Holly K. Nowell, Kevin M. Robertson, Todd J. Hawbaker, Christopher V. Matechik, Joshua J. Picotte, Melanie K. Vanderhoof, Casey Elizabeth Menick, Karen Cummins, Joesph Noble
Publication Type Article
Publication Subtype Journal Article
Series Title Fire Ecology
Index ID 70278115
Record Source USGS Publications Warehouse
USGS Organization Geosciences and Environmental Change Science Center
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