Max Schneider, PhD
Max Schneider is a Mendenhall Postdoc in the Earthquake Hazards Program.
Max Schneider is a Research Statistician at USGS's Earthquake Science Center. His research focuses on the quantification and visualization of risk and uncertainty for earthquake forecasts, centered on user needs. Current projects are on user-centered design of forecast products, building qualitative and quantitative methods for eliciting user needs, translating them into design choices for maps, graphics and interactive systems, and evaluating how these forecast products affect the perception and communication of risk. He also works on statistical testing and modeling for earthquake forecasts, including USGS’s operational aftershock forecasting system. Here, he develops statistical metrics and tests for evaluating probabilistic aftershock forecasts in a user-centric approach. Past modeling, testing and visualization research has focused on hurricane wave prediction, land use changes, human rights, and other natural and social phenomena. Max holds a PhD in Statistics from the University of Washington (with supplemental training in decision science at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin, Germany) and a Master's of Science in Mathematics (Data Analysis and Mathematical Modeling) from the University of Potsdam, Germany.
Science and Products
Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake
Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States
Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters
What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models
Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
Aftershock forecasting Aftershock forecasting
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.
Science and Products
Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake Rapid characterization of the 2025 Mw 8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake
Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States Meet the people where they are: Assessing user needs for aftershock forecast products in El Salvador, Mexico and the United States
Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters Bayesian ETAS modeling for the Pacific Northwest: Uncovering effects of tectonic regimes, regional differences, and swarms on aftershock parameters
What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models
Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
Aftershock forecasting Aftershock forecasting
Non-USGS Publications**
**Disclaimer: The views expressed in Non-USGS publications are those of the author and do not represent the views of the USGS, Department of the Interior, or the U.S. Government.