Publications
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Injection-induced earthquakes Injection-induced earthquakes
Earthquakes in unusual locations have become an important topic of discussion in both North America and Europe, owing to the concern that industrial activity could cause damaging earthquakes. It has long been understood that earthquakes can be induced by impoundment of reservoirs, surface and underground mining, withdrawal of fluids and gas from the subsurface, and injection of fluids...
Authors
William L. Ellsworth
Fault displacement hazard for strike-slip faults Fault displacement hazard for strike-slip faults
In this paper we summarize data, methods, and models developed for a probabilistic assessment of fault displacement hazards across the U.S. We compare earthquake displacement data and empirical fault displacement models that have been developed for normal faults, strike-slip faults, and reverse faults. In general, the data and models are similar near the center of the fault for the three...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Rui Chen
Preliminary 2018 national seismic hazard model for the conterminous United States Preliminary 2018 national seismic hazard model for the conterminous United States
The 2014 U.S. Geological Survey national seismic hazard model for the conterminous U.S. will be updated in 2018 and 2020 to coincide with the Building Seismic Safety Council’s Project 17 timeline for development of new building code design criteria. The two closely timed updates are planned to allow more time for the Provisions Update Committee to analyze the consequences of the hazard...
Authors
Mark D. Petersen, Allison Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Charles Mueller, Sanaz Rezaeian, Morgan P. Moschetti, Daniel E. McNamara, Eric M. Thompson, Oliver S. Boyd, Nico Luco, Susan M. Hoover, Kenneth S. Rukstales
Quantifying the effect of beating inferred from recorded responses of tall buildings Quantifying the effect of beating inferred from recorded responses of tall buildings
The beating phenomenon observed in recorded earthquake responses of a tall building in Japan and of two others buildings in the U.S. are examined in this paper. The objective of the paper is to discuss the significance of beating and to estimate what percentage of total shaking energy impacting a building is contributed by beating when it occurs. Beating is prominent in the prolonged...
Authors
Mehmet Celebi
Validating ground-motion simulations on rough faults in complex 3D media Validating ground-motion simulations on rough faults in complex 3D media
We utilize a two-step process to validate 0-4 Hz ground motion simulations using the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. In the first step we run multiple realizations using the Graves and Pitarka hybrid method as implemented on the SCEC Broadband Simulation Platform and compare these with near-fault (R 40 km) recorded motions. A total of 648 rupture scenarios are examined and from these...
Authors
Robert Graves, Arben Pitarka
On the potential duration of the aftershock sequence of the 2018 Anchorage earthquake On the potential duration of the aftershock sequence of the 2018 Anchorage earthquake
Currently, an aftershock sequence is ongoing in Alaska after the magnitude 7.0 Anchorage earthquake of November 30, 2018. Using two scenarios, determined with observations as of December 14, 2018, this report estimates that it will take between 2.5 years and 3 decades before the rate of aftershocks decays to the rate of earthquakes that were occurring in this area before the magnitude 7...
Authors
Andrew J. Michael
Earthquakes induced by hydraulic fracturing are pervasive in Oklahoma Earthquakes induced by hydraulic fracturing are pervasive in Oklahoma
Wastewater disposal is generally accepted to be the primary cause of the increased seismicity rate in Oklahoma within the past decade, but no statewide analysis has investigated the contribution of hydraulic fracturing (HF) to the observed seismicity or the seismic hazard. Utilizing an enhanced seismicity catalog generated with multi‐station template matching from 2010‐2016 and all...
Authors
Robert J. Skoumal, Rosamiel Ries, Michael R. Brudzinski, Andrew J. Barbour, Brian S. Currie
Microseismic events associated with the Oroville Dam spillway Microseismic events associated with the Oroville Dam spillway
On 14 February 2017, two small (equivalent MD 0.8 and 1.0) seismic events occurred in proximity to the Oroville Dam in the Sierra Nevada foothills, California. To examine possible causal relationships between these events and reservoir operations, including the spillway failure starting prior to these events, we applied a new optimized template matching approach to seismic data between...
Authors
Robert J. Skoumal, Phillip B. Dawson, Stephen H. Hickman, J. Ole Kaven
Seismology with dark data: Image-based processing of analog records using machine learning for the rangely earthquake control experiment Seismology with dark data: Image-based processing of analog records using machine learning for the rangely earthquake control experiment
Before the digital era, seismograms were recorded in analog form and read manually by analysts. The digital era represents only about 25% of the total time span of instrumental seismology. Analog data provide important constraints on earthquake processes over the long term, and in some cases are the only data available. The media on which analog data are recorded degrades with time and...
Authors
Kaiwen Wang, William L. Ellsworth, Gregory C. Beroza, Gordon Williams, Miao Zhang, Dustin Schroeder, Justin L. Rubinstein
Updated California aftershock parameters Updated California aftershock parameters
Reasenberg and Jones (1989) introduced a statistical model for aftershock rate following a mainshock along with estimates of “generic” California parameter values based on past aftershock sequences. The Reasenberg and Jones (1989) model has been used for decades to issue aftershock forecasts following M≥5 mainshocks in California. Here, we update the “generic” parameters for California...
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Erratum to Broadband synthetic seismograms for magnitude 9 earthquakes on the Cascadia megathrust based on 3D simulations and stochastic synthetics, Part 1: methodology and overall results Erratum to Broadband synthetic seismograms for magnitude 9 earthquakes on the Cascadia megathrust based on 3D simulations and stochastic synthetics, Part 1: methodology and overall results
No abstract available.
Authors
Arthur D. Frankel, Erin A. Wirth, Nasser A. Marafi, John Vidale, William J. Stephenson
3-D Simulations of M9 earthquakes on the Cascadia Megathrust: Methodology and results 3-D Simulations of M9 earthquakes on the Cascadia Megathrust: Methodology and results
No abstract available.
Authors
Arthur D. Frankel, Erin Wirth Moriarty, J. Vidale, William J. Stephenson, Nasser A. Marafi