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Publications

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The digital archivist: Automating legacy macroseismic data processing using large language models The digital archivist: Automating legacy macroseismic data processing using large language models

Macroseismic data are a key resource to investigate shaking and damage from preinstrumental and early instrumental eras. However, data are often stored as inconsistently formatted reports describing observed shaking and damage, making manually parsing and interpreting accounts labor‐intensive. We introduce a novel workflow using Google’s Gemini 2.5 Pro large language model (LLM) to...
Authors
Aarnav Agrawal, Susan E. Hough, Mostafa Mousavi, Margaret Hellweg, William Ellsworth, Clara Yoon, Salvador Blanco

Cascadia Subduction Zone science: Call for the next generation community seismic velocity model Cascadia Subduction Zone science: Call for the next generation community seismic velocity model

The Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) hosts major seismic and tsunami hazards, yet key questions persist about the relationship between margin structure, fluid distribution, episodic tremor and slip, shallow megathrust behavior, shaking and tsunamigenesis, and the resulting hazard estimates. Addressing these problems requires an empirically grounded, three‐dimensional seismic velocity model...
Authors
Valerie J. Sahakian, Asif Ashraf, Charity Mann, Pieter-Ewald Share-MacParland, Rasheed Ajala, Jonathan Delph, Bin He, Emilie Hooft, Alex R. Grant, William J. Stephenson, Erin A. Wirth, Amanda Thomas, Diego Melgar, Jill Elizabeth

A ground-motion model derived using a generalized mean rupture distance for large slab interface earthquakes A ground-motion model derived using a generalized mean rupture distance for large slab interface earthquakes

Source–station distance is a central input to ground‐motion models (GMMs) for predicting seismic shaking. GMM development uses distance metrics including the Joyner–Boore distance, which is the shortest distance from an observation point to the surface projection of the earthquake rupture, and Rrup the shortest distance to the rupture in three dimensions. Thompson and Baltay (2018)...
Authors
Jessica R. Murray, Grace Alexandra Parker

Preliminary geology of the North Meadow Creek Area, Tobacco Root Mountains, southwest Montana: The North Meadow Creek Fault Preliminary geology of the North Meadow Creek Area, Tobacco Root Mountains, southwest Montana: The North Meadow Creek Fault

This report documents a previously unmapped fault, informally referred to herein as the North Meadow Creek fault, on the east flank of the Tobacco Mountains of southwestern Montana. This fault has an apparently long and complex history, including Quaternary offset of an older alluvial terrace, offset of a debris flow of presumed Pleistocene age, offset of rhyolite lava flows of presumed...
Authors
Gary S. Fuis, Parker J. LeClair, Chester A. Ruleman

Rapid earthquake magnitude classification via P-wave strains from borehole strainmeters and Distributed Acoustic Sensing Rapid earthquake magnitude classification via P-wave strains from borehole strainmeters and Distributed Acoustic Sensing

Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) offers a promising approach for earthquake early warning (EEW) in settings where seismic networks are costly to maintain. By repurposing fiber-optic cables as dense strainmeter arrays, DAS enables real-time earthquake detection wherever those fibers are accessible. However, poor azimuthal coverage and challenges in estimating magnitude from strain...
Authors
Theresa Marie Sawi, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Andrew J. Barbour, Clara Yoon, Martin Karrenbach, Connie Stewart

Moment magnitude for small earthquakes in the Delaware basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico, USA Moment magnitude for small earthquakes in the Delaware basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico, USA

The Delaware Basin region of west Texas and southeast New Mexico has become one of the most prolific regions of seismic activity in the continental United States due to widespread hydraulic fracturing and wastewater disposal injection. In response to the increased number of earthquakes in this region, rapid and accurate characterization of earthquake sources is necessary to understand...
Authors
Sydney Gable, Yihe Huang, David R. Shelly, Justin L. Rubinstein

Dynamic coupling between faulting, rifting and magmatism during 2021-2025 unrest on Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland Dynamic coupling between faulting, rifting and magmatism during 2021-2025 unrest on Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland

Interactions among faulting, earthquakes, and eruptions are fundamental to plate tectonics and hazard forecasting yet rarely observed along mid-ocean ridges. On Iceland's Reykjanes Peninsula, seismotectonic–volcanic unrest resumed after nearly 800-year hiatus, providing an opportunity to observe these interactions during 2021–2025 activity. By integrating high-resolution seismicity...
Authors
Tomáš J. Fischer, Pavla Hrubcová, Josef Vlček, Gregory de Pascale, Thorvaldur Thordarson, Halldór Geirsson, Anthony Lomax, Robert J. Skoumal

Predictable seismic cycles result from structural rupture barriers on oceanic transform faults Predictable seismic cycles result from structural rupture barriers on oceanic transform faults

Earthquakes of magnitude (M) >5.5 on oceanic transform faults (OTFs) repeatedly rupture the same locked patches, sometimes quasiperiodically. These patches are separated by “barriers” that halt earthquake propagation and slip mostly aseismically. However, the physical processes governing this systematic behavior remain unclear. We analyzed two barriers along the Gofar transform fault...
Authors
Jianhua Gong, Wenyuan Fan, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Mark D. Behn, Jessica M. Warren, Emily Roland, M. S. Boettcher, J. A. Collins, Y. Liu, C. R. German

Discrete element investigation of the influence of shallow soil density on the manifestations of strike-slip surface fault rupture Discrete element investigation of the influence of shallow soil density on the manifestations of strike-slip surface fault rupture

This study investigates the influence of soil relative density on strike-slip surface fault rupture manifestations using three-dimensional numerical simulations performed with the discrete element method (DEM). The simulations capture the formation of distinctive fault strands within complex flower structures using tens of millions of grains. The tendency for dense soils to localize...
Authors
Fernando E. Garcia, Curtis William Baden, Johanna Nevitt

The potential impact of three-dimensional distributed slip models derived from real-time GNSS data on the performance of the ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system for slab interface earthquakes The potential impact of three-dimensional distributed slip models derived from real-time GNSS data on the performance of the ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system for slab interface earthquakes

The ShakeAlert® earthquake early warning (EEW) system is designed to warn users of imminent strong ground motion with sufficient time to take protective actions. ShakeAlert currently uses three algorithms to characterize the earthquake source. One estimates the location and magnitude using the first few seconds of the P wave and, while fast, tends to underestimate magnitude for Mw 7.0+...
Authors
Jessica R. Murray, Carl W. Ulberg

3D semantic mapping of surface geological features 3D semantic mapping of surface geological features

Semantic mapping in 3D is fundamental to a wide range of geoscientific studies and applications, including geomorphology, hazard assessment, and environmental monitoring. However, automatically segmenting geological features from large-scale photogrammetric datasets remains a significant challenge. We present a methodology to address this gap. Using overlapping images collected over...
Authors
Zhiang Chen, Devin McPhillips, Katherine M. Scharer, Zachary Ross

ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning System performance during the Mw 7.0 offshore Cape Mendocino earthquake ShakeAlert Earthquake Early Warning System performance during the Mw 7.0 offshore Cape Mendocino earthquake

The 5 December 2024 Mw 7.0 Offshore Cape Mendocino earthquake was a challenging test of the U.S. West Coast ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system due to its offshore epicenter and limited near‐source station coverage. We analyzed real‐time performance of all components of the ShakeAlert system, including the seismic algorithms (earthquake point‐source integrated code [EPIC] and...
Authors
Angela I. Lux, Jessie K. Saunders, Jessica R. Murray, Jeffrey J. McGuire, Maren Bose, Sumant Jha, Deborah Smith, S. N. Dybing, Carl W. Ulberg, Jacob Alexander Crummey, Stephen Crane, Richard Allen, Robert Michael deGroot
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