Publications
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The HayWired Earthquake Scenario The HayWired Earthquake Scenario
Foreword The 1906 Great San Francisco earthquake (magnitude 7.8) and the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake (magnitude 6.9) each motivated residents of the San Francisco Bay region to build countermeasures to earthquakes into the fabric of the region. Since Loma Prieta, bay-region communities, governments, and utilities have invested tens of billions of dollars in seismic upgrades and retrofits...
Imaging of earthquake faults using small UAVs as a pathfinder for air and space observations Imaging of earthquake faults using small UAVs as a pathfinder for air and space observations
Large earthquakes cause billions of dollars in damage and extensive loss of life and property. Geodetic and topographic imaging provide measurements of transient and long-term crustal deformation needed to monitor fault zones and understand earthquakes. Earthquake-induced strain and rupture characteristics are expressed in topographic features imprinted on the landscapes of fault zones...
Authors
Andrea Donnellan, Joseph Green, Adnan Ansar, Joseph Aletky, Margaret Glasscoe, Yehuda Ben-Zion, J. Ramon Arrowsmith, Stephen B. DeLong
Implications of the earthquake cycle for inferring fault locking on the Cascadia megathrust Implications of the earthquake cycle for inferring fault locking on the Cascadia megathrust
GPS velocity fields in the Western US have been interpreted with various physical models of the lithosphere-asthenosphere system: (1) time-independent block models; (2) time-dependent viscoelastic-cycle models, where deformation is driven by viscoelastic relaxation of the lower crust and upper mantle from past faulting events; (3) viscoelastic block models, a time-dependent variation of...
Authors
Frederick Pollitz, Eileen Evans
Evaluation of performance of Taiwan housing stock and schools during the Mw6.4 Kaohsiung/Meinong Earthquake of February 6, 2016 Evaluation of performance of Taiwan housing stock and schools during the Mw6.4 Kaohsiung/Meinong Earthquake of February 6, 2016
The recent Kaohsiung Meinong Earthquake which occurred on February 6, 2016 affected several categories of building stock for which risk identification programs were previously developed by NCREE. A typical building type in the city of Tainan is a mixed-use three-to-five-story structure. The ground floor of this typical structure is an open-front commercial or manufacturing space, which...
Authors
Ramon Gilsanz, Cathy Huang, Jessica Mandrick, Joe Mugford, Shyh-Jiann Hwang, Tsung-Chih Chiou, Mehmet Celebi
Building damage survey and microtremor measurements for the source region of the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake Building damage survey and microtremor measurements for the source region of the 2015 Gorkha, Nepal, earthquake
We performed a damage survey of buildings and carried out microtremor observations in the source region of the 2015 Gorkha earthquake. Our survey area spans the Kathmandu valley and areas to the east and north of the valley. Damage of buildings in the Kathmandu valley was localized, and the percentage of the totally collapsed buildings was less than 5 %. East of the Kathmandu valley...
Authors
Masumi Yamada, Takumi Hayashida, James Mori, Walter Mooney
Statistical tests of simple earthquake cycle models Statistical tests of simple earthquake cycle models
A central goal of observing and modeling the earthquake cycle is to forecast when a particular fault may generate an earthquake: a fault late in its earthquake cycle may be more likely to generate an earthquake than a fault early in its earthquake cycle. Models that can explain geodetic observations throughout the entire earthquake cycle may be required to gain a more complete...
Authors
Phoebe M. R. Devries, Eileen Evans
Late Quaternary offset of alluvial fan surfaces along the Central Sierra Madre Fault, southern California Late Quaternary offset of alluvial fan surfaces along the Central Sierra Madre Fault, southern California
The Sierra Madre Fault is a reverse fault system along the southern flank of the San Gabriel Mountains near Los Angeles, California. This study focuses on the Central Sierra Madre Fault (CSMF) in an effort to provide numeric dating on surfaces with ages previously estimated from soil development alone. We have refined previous geomorphic mapping conducted in the western portion of the...
Authors
Reed J. Burgette, Austin Hanson, Katherine M. Scharer, Nikolas Midttun
Testing geomorphology-derived rupture histories against the paleoseismic record of the southern San Andreas fault Testing geomorphology-derived rupture histories against the paleoseismic record of the southern San Andreas fault
Evidence for the 340-km-long Fort Tejon earthquake of 1857 is found at each of the high-resolution paleoseismic sites on the southern San Andreas Fault. Using trenching data from these sites, we find that the assemblage of dated paleoearthquakes recurs quasi-periodically (coefficient of variation, COV, of 0.6, Biasi, 2013) and requires ~80% of ruptures were shorter than the 1857 rupture...
Authors
Katherine M. Scharer, Ray J. Weldon, Sean Bemis
A possible source mechanism of the 1946 Unimak Alaska far-field tsunami, uplift of the mid-slope terrace above a splay fault zone A possible source mechanism of the 1946 Unimak Alaska far-field tsunami, uplift of the mid-slope terrace above a splay fault zone
In 1946, megathrust seismicity along the Unimak segment of the Alaska subduction zone generated the largest ever recorded Alaska/Aleutian tsunami. The tsunami severely damaged Pacific islands and coastal areas from Alaska to Antarctica. It is the charter member of “tsunami” earthquakes that produce outsized far-field tsunamis for the recorded magnitude. Its source mechanisms were...
Authors
Roland E. von Huene, John J. Miller, Dirk Klaeschen, Peter Dartnell
Earthquake source properties from pseudotachylite Earthquake source properties from pseudotachylite
The motions radiated from an earthquake contain information that can be interpreted as displacements within the source and therefore related to stress drop. Except in a few notable cases, the source displacements can neither be easily related to the absolute stress level or fault strength, nor attributed to a particular physical mechanism. In contrast paleo-earthquakes recorded by...
Authors
Nicholas M. Beeler, Giulio Di Toro, Stefan Nielsen
Does paleoseismology forecast the historic rates of large earthquakes on the San Andreas fault system? Does paleoseismology forecast the historic rates of large earthquakes on the San Andreas fault system?
The 98-year open interval since the most recent ground-rupturing earthquake in the greater San Andreas boundary fault system would not be predicted by the quasi-periodic recurrence statistics from paleoseismic data. We examine whether the current hiatus could be explained by uncertainties in earthquake dating. Using seven independent paleoseismic records, 100 year intervals may have...
Authors
Glenn Biasi, Katherine M. Scharer, Ray J. Weldon, Timothy E. Dawson
Responses of a tall building with U.S. code-type instrumentation in Tokyo, Japan, to events before, during and after the Tohoku earthquake of 11 March 2011 Responses of a tall building with U.S. code-type instrumentation in Tokyo, Japan, to events before, during and after the Tohoku earthquake of 11 March 2011
The 11 March 2011 M 9.0 Tohoku earthquake generated long-duration shaking that propagated hundreds of kilometers from the epicenter and affected tall buildings in urban areas several hundred kilometers from the epicenter of the main shock. Recorded responses show that tall buildings were affected by long-period motions. This study presents the behavior and performance of a 37-story...
Authors
Mehmet Çelebi, Toshihide Kashima, S. Farid Ghahari, Fariba Abazarsa, Ertugrul Taciroglu