Operational ecological forecasting is an emerging field that leverages ecological models in a new, cross-disciplinary way, using a real-time or nearly real-time climate forecast to project near-term ecosystem states. These applications give decision-makers lead time to anticipate and manage state changes that degrade ecosystem functions or directly impact humans. The Everglades Forecasting model (EverForecast) is an operational water stage forecast providing 6-month forecasts of daily projected, spatially continuous stage values across the Water Conservation Areas, Big Cypress National Preserve, Everglades National Park, Big Cypress Seminole Indian Reservation, and Miccosukee Federal Indian Reservation and Leased Lands. The forecast provided here starts on April 13, 2020 and ends on October 12, 2020. It includes the central tendency from the spatial position analysis and the Monte Carlo simulation outputs and processes to generate these data.
Citation Information
| Publication Year | 2020 |
|---|---|
| Title | EverForecast hydrologic output for April 2020: a six-month water stage forecast for the Greater Everglades |
| DOI | 10.5066/P9UARKTV |
| Authors | Saira M Haider, Stephanie S Romanach, Leonard G Pearlstine, James M Beerens, Gregg Reynolds, James ( McKelvy, Kevin J Suir |
| Product Type | Data Release |
| Record Source | USGS Digital Object Identifier Catalog |
| USGS Organization | Wetland and Aquatic Research Center |