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Publications

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Spatially continuous models of aleatory variability in seismic site response for southern California Spatially continuous models of aleatory variability in seismic site response for southern California

We develop an empirical, spatially continuous model for the single-station within-event (ϕSS) component of earthquake ground motion variability in the Los Angeles area. ϕSS represents event-to-event variability in site response or remaining variability due to path effects not captured by ground motion models. Site-specific values of ϕSS at permanent seismic network stations were...
Authors
Grace Alexandra Parker, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Eric M. Thompson

Performance of NGA-East GMMs and site amplification models relative to CENA ground motions Performance of NGA-East GMMs and site amplification models relative to CENA ground motions

We investigate bias in ground motions predicted for Central and Eastern North America (CENA) using ground motion models (GMMs) combined with site amplification models developed in the NGA-East project. Bias is anticipated because of de-coupled procedures used in the development of the GMMs and site amplification models. The NGA-East GMMs were mainly calibrated by adjusting CENA data to a...
Authors
Maria E. Ramos-Sepulveda, Grace Alexandra Parker, Meibai Li, Okan Ilhan, Youssef M. A. Hashash, Ellen Rathje, Jonathan P. Stewart

Estimates of kappa in the San Francisco Bay area Estimates of kappa in the San Francisco Bay area

Site characterization is a critical component of seismic hazards studies, especially in the development and use of ground motion models (GMMs). One such parameter, kappa (Κ0), represents local site attenuation and effectively describes regional variations in ground motion [1]. However, estimates of Κ0 are limited. We estimate the site parameter Κ0 for 296 broadband and accelerometer...
Authors
Tara A. Nye, Valerie J. Sahakian, E.L. King, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Alexis Klimasewski

Earthquake early warning: Toward modeling optimal protective actions Earthquake early warning: Toward modeling optimal protective actions

Over the past few years early earthquake warning systems have been incorporated into earthquake preparation efforts in many locations around the globe. These systems provide an excellent opportunity for advanced warning of ground shaking and other hazards associated with earthquakes. This study aims to optimize this advanced warning for individuals inside a building when the alert is...
Authors
M. Wood, X. Zhang, X. Zhao, Sara K. McBride, Nico Luco, D. Baldwin, T. Covas

2018 M7.1 Anchorage and 2021 M7.2 Nippes, Haiti earthquake case studies for Virtual Earthquake Reconnaissance Team (VERT) activation protocols, policies, and procedures to gather earthquake response footage 2018 M7.1 Anchorage and 2021 M7.2 Nippes, Haiti earthquake case studies for Virtual Earthquake Reconnaissance Team (VERT) activation protocols, policies, and procedures to gather earthquake response footage

The collection of online videos and imagery to use in disaster reconnaissance is increasing in frequency, due to accessibility of platforms and the ubiquitous nature of smartphones and recording devices. In this short article, we explore the processes, goals, and utility of Virtual Emergency Reconnaissance Teams (VERTs) to collect footage and imagery of geohazards (earthquakes, volcanoes...
Authors
Sara K. McBride, J. Bellizzi, S. Gin, G. Henry, D. F. Sumy, D. Baldwin, E. Fischer

Update on the Center for Engineering Strong-Motion Data (CESMD) Update on the Center for Engineering Strong-Motion Data (CESMD)

he Center for Engineering Strong-Motion Data (CESMD), an internationally utilized joint center of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the California Geological Survey (CGS), provides a unified access point for earthquake strong-motion records and station metadata from the CGS California Strong-Motion Instrumentation Program (CSMIP), the USGS National Strong-Motion Project (NSMP), the...
Authors
Lijam Hagos, H. Haddadi, Lisa Sue Schleicher, Jamison Haase Steidl, Lind Gee, M. Dhar

Western U.S. deformation models for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Western U.S. deformation models for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model

This report describes geodetic and geologic information used to constrain deformation models of the 2023 update to the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM), a set of deformation models to interpret these data, and their implications for earthquake rates in the western United States. Recent updates provide a much larger data set of Global Positioning System crustal velocities than used in...
Authors
Frederick Pollitz, Eileen L. Evans, Edward H. Field, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Kaj M Johnson, Jessica R. Murray, Peter M. Powers, Zheng-Kang Shen, Crystal Wespestad, Yuehua Zeng

GPS velocity field of the Western United States for the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model update GPS velocity field of the Western United States for the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model update

Global Positioning System (GPS) velocity solutions of the western United States (WUS) are compiled from several sources of field networks and data processing centers for the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM). These solutions include both survey and continuous‐mode GPS velocity measurements. I follow the data processing procedure of Parsons et al. (2013) for...
Authors
Yuehua Zeng

Viscoelastic fault-based model of crustal deformation for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Viscoelastic fault-based model of crustal deformation for the 2023 update to the U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model

The 2023 update to the National Seismic Hazard (NSHM) model is informed by several deformation models that furnish geodetically estimated fault slip rates. Here I describe a fault‐based model that permits estimation of long‐term slip rates on discrete faults and the distribution of off‐fault moment release. It is based on quantification of the earthquake cycle on a viscoelastic model of...
Authors
Frederick Pollitz

Earthquakes in the shadows: Why aftershocks occur at surprising locations Earthquakes in the shadows: Why aftershocks occur at surprising locations

For decades there has been a debate about the relative effects of dynamic versus static stress triggering of aftershocks. According to the static Coulomb stress change hypothesis, aftershocks should not occur in stress shadows—regions where static Coulomb stress has been reduced. We show that static stress shadows substantially influence aftershock occurrence following three M ≥ 7...
Authors
Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Ruth A. Harris

Using machine learning techniques with incomplete polarity datasets to improve earthquake focal mechanism determination Using machine learning techniques with incomplete polarity datasets to improve earthquake focal mechanism determination

Earthquake focal mechanisms are traditionally produced using P‐wave first‐motion polarities and commonly require well‐recorded seismicity. A recent approach that is less dependent on high signal‐to‐noise exploits similar waveforms to produce relative polarity measurements between earthquake pairs. Utilizing these relative polarity measurements, it is possible to produce composite focal...
Authors
Robert Skoumal, David R. Shelly, Jeanne L. Hardebeck

A late Cenozoic kinematic model for fault motion within greater Cascadia A late Cenozoic kinematic model for fault motion within greater Cascadia

Widely accepted tectonic reconstructions indicate at least 100 km of coast-parallel northwestward translation of the Sierra Nevada block of California and 15–20° clockwise rotation of most of Oregon since the current phase of Basin and Range extension began ∼17 Ma. These reconstructions require at least 100 km of convergence between the central Coast Range of Oregon and rigid North...
Authors
Douglas S. Wilson, Patricia A. McCrory
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