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Ice cave climate monitoring at Sunset Crater National Monument, Arizona Ice cave climate monitoring at Sunset Crater National Monument, Arizona

The purpose of this project was to monitor the cave climate of the Sunset Crater National Monument “Bonito Flow” Ice Cave. The main purpose of the climate monitoring was to determine if “Ice Cave” was still an ice cave, i.e., a cave that contains perennial ice. The data acquired from 2 March 2021 to 13 Dec. 2022 consisted of temperature, humidity, and pressure throughout the cave...
Authors
Timothy N. Titus, Kaj E. Williams, Glen E. Cushing, Amber L. Gullikson

Planetary caves from Mercury to Pluto? Planetary caves from Mercury to Pluto?

On Earth, caves are unique environments at the intersection of geology, climate, and biology. Given that the same terrestrial speleogenetic processes exist throughout the solar system, it would be surprising if caves beyond Earth did not exist. Thousands of potential cave entrances (or subsurface access points) have been identified from Earth’s Moon to Pluto’s moon, Charon. To date, our...
Authors
Timothy N. Titus, Janna Wynne, Michael J. Malaska, Penelope J. Boston

What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models What do we know without the catalog? Eliciting prior beliefs from experts for aftershock models

Fitting parametric seismological models to earthquake catalogs often comes with numerical challenges, especially when catalogs are small. An alternative way to quantify parameter values for a seismic region is by eliciting expert opinions on the seismological characteristics that each parameter corresponds to. For instance, expert beliefs on aftershock patterns can be formulated into...
Authors
Max Schneider, Peter Guttorp

The solar cycle, geology, and geoelectric hazards for power grids The solar cycle, geology, and geoelectric hazards for power grids

When sunspots are large and numerous, intense magnetic storms are likely to occur on the Earth. Magnetic storms can generate electric fields in the Earth, and these fields can, in turn, interfere with electric power transmission grids that are grounded at the Earth’s surface. Across the contiguous United States, geoelectric hazards are highest in the Upper Midwest and in the East. These...
Authors
Jeffrey J. Love, Steven Sobieszczyk, E. Joshua Rigler, Anna Kelbert, Kristen A. Lewis

Evaluation of an open earthquake early warning system in Mexico, and laboratory tests of their sensors Evaluation of an open earthquake early warning system in Mexico, and laboratory tests of their sensors

Microelectromechanical system (MEMS) accelerometers are useful for seismological and engineering applications because of their ability to record unsaturated large seismic signals. Recent advances in MEMS technologies enable the design of instruments with improved capabilities that also allow the recording of small signals. As a result, MEMS can be useful across a broad dynamic range and...
Authors
Vaclav Kuna, Adam T. Ringler, Diego Melgar

Onset of aftershocks: Constraints on the Rate-and-State model Onset of aftershocks: Constraints on the Rate-and-State model

Aftershock rates typically decay with time t after the mainshock according to the Omori–Utsu law, R(t)=K(c+t)−p⁠, with parameters K, c, and p. The rate‐and‐state (RS) model, which is currently the most popular physics‐based seismicity model, also predicts an Omori–Utsu decay with p = 1 and a c‐value that depends on the size of the coseismic stress change. Because the mainshock‐induced...
Authors
Sebastian Hainzl, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst

Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake Preliminary observations of the April 5th, 2024, Mw4.8 New Jersey earthquake

On 5 April 2024, 10:23 a.m. local time, a moment magnitude 4.8 earthquake struck Tewksbury Township, New Jersey, about 65 km west of New York City. Millions of people from Virginia to Maine and beyond felt the ground shaking, resulting in the largest number (>180,000) of U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) “Did You Feel It?” reports of any earthquake. A team deployed by the Geotechnical...
Authors
Oliver S. Boyd, William D. Barnhart, James Bourke, Martin C. Chapman, Paul S. Earle, Guo-chin Dino Huang, Jessica Ann Thompson Jobe, Won-Young Kim, Frederick Link, Mairi Maclean Litherland, Andrew Lloyd, Maureen Long, Sara K. McBride, Andrew J. Michael, Walter D. Mooney, Gregory Moutain, Sissy Nikolaou, Alexandros Savvaidas, Felix Waldhauser, Cecily J. Wolfe, Clara Yoon

Extending the Boore and Abrahamson (2023) modified square-root-impedance method for the development of site amplifications consistent with the full-resonance approach to a range of VS30 values Extending the Boore and Abrahamson (2023) modified square-root-impedance method for the development of site amplifications consistent with the full-resonance approach to a range of VS30 values

The square-root-impedance (SRI) method is commonly used to approximate the seismic site amplifications computed using the full-resonance (FR) method for gradient shear-wave velocity (VS) profiles that are smoothly varying with depth. The SRI site amplifications have been observed to systematically underpredict the FR site amplifications by a ratio of FR/SRI amplifications around 1.05 to...
Authors
Linda Al Atik, David Boore

Cross-fade sampling: Extremely efficient Bayesian inversion for a variety of geophysical problems Cross-fade sampling: Extremely efficient Bayesian inversion for a variety of geophysical problems

This paper introduces cross-fade sampling, a computationally efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation method that uses a semi-analytical approach to quickly solve Bayesian inverse problems that do not themselves have an analytical solution. Cross-fading is efficient in two ways. First, it requires fewer samples to obtain the same quality simulation of the target probability density...
Authors
Sarah E. Minson

Testing rate‐and‐state predictions of aftershock decay with distance Testing rate‐and‐state predictions of aftershock decay with distance

We analyze aftershocks of the 2019 M 7.1 Ridgecrest mainshock and isolated M 5–6 mainshocks in southern California to test predictions made by the rate‐and‐state friction model of Dieterich (1994). Rate‐and‐state friction predicts that the seismicity rate after a stress step follows Omori decay, where the Omori c‐value, which is the saturation in aftershock rate observed at small times...
Authors
Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Sebastian Hainzl

Likely ferromagnetic minerals identified by the Perseverance rover and implications for future paleomagnetic analyses of returned Martian samples Likely ferromagnetic minerals identified by the Perseverance rover and implications for future paleomagnetic analyses of returned Martian samples

Although Mars today does not have a core dynamo, magnetizations in the Martian crust and in meteorites suggest a magnetic field was present prior to 3.7 billion years (Ga) ago. However, the lack of ancient, oriented Martian bedrock samples available on Earth has prevented accurate estimates of the dynamo's intensity, lifetime, and direction. Constraining the nature and lifetime of the...
Authors
M.N. Mansbach, T.V. Kizovski, E. L. Scheller, T. Bosak, L. Mandon, B. Horgan, R.C. Wiens, C.D.K. Herd, S. Sharma, J.R. Johnson, Travis S.J. Gabriel, O. Forni, B.P. Weiss

Are the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios of earthquakes and microtremors the same? Are the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios of earthquakes and microtremors the same?

We consider the similarities and differences between earthquake and microtremor horizontal‐to‐vertical spectral ratios (eHVSR and mHVSR, respectively) using a dataset of 161 sites in southern California. Quantitative comparisons are made in terms of the eHVSR and mHVSR lognormal median curves, as well as the frequencies and amplitudes associated with the fundamental‐ and higher‐mode...
Authors
Joseph Vantassel, Makbule Ilgac, Adda Athanasopoulos Zekkos, Alan Yong, Behzad Hassani, Antony Martin
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