Publications
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The influence of anthropogenic regulation and evaporite dissolution on earthquake-triggered ground failure The influence of anthropogenic regulation and evaporite dissolution on earthquake-triggered ground failure
Remote sensing observations of Searles Lake following the 2019 moment magnitude 7.1 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake reveal an area where surface ejecta is arranged in a repeating hexagonal pattern that is collocated with a solution-mining operation. By analyzing geologic and geotechnical data, here we show that the hexagonal surface ejecta is likely not a result of liquefaction...
Authors
Paula Madeline Burgi, Eric M. Thompson, Kate E. Allstadt, Kyle Dennis Murray, Henry Mason, Sean Kamran Ahdi, Devin Katzenstein
Background seismic noise levels among the Caribbean network and the role of station proximity to coastline Background seismic noise levels among the Caribbean network and the role of station proximity to coastline
The amplitude and frequency content of background seismic noise is highly variable with geographic location. Understanding the characteristics and behavior of background seismic noise as a function of location can inform approaches to improve network performance and in turn increase earthquake detection capabilities. Here, we calculate power spectral density estimates in one‐hour windows...
Authors
Justin T. Wilgus, Adam T. Ringler, Brandon Schmandt, David C. Wilson, Robert E. Anthony
Induced seismicity strategic vision Induced seismicity strategic vision
Executive Summary The U.S. Geological Survey has a long history of contributions to the understanding and resolution of various scientific questions related to earthquakes associated with human activities, referred to as induced seismicity. Work started with the Rocky Mountain Arsenal studies in the 1960’s (Healy and others, 1968) when it was first discovered that fluid waste-disposal...
Authors
Elizabeth S. Cochran, Justin L. Rubinstein, Andrew J. Barbour, J. Ole Kaven
Modeling protective action decision-making in earthquakes by using explainable machine learning and video data Modeling protective action decision-making in earthquakes by using explainable machine learning and video data
Earthquakes pose substantial threats to communities worldwide. Understanding how people respond to the fast-changing environment during earthquakes is crucial for reducing risks and saving lives. This study aims to study people’s protective action decision-making in earthquakes by leveraging explainable machine learning and video data. Specifically, this study first collected real-world...
Authors
Xiaojian Zhang, Xilei Zhao, Dare Baldwin, Sara K. McBride, Josephine Bellizzi, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Nicolas Luco, Matthew Wood, Thomas J. Cova
California community Earth Models for Seismic Hazard Assessments workshop report California community Earth Models for Seismic Hazard Assessments workshop report
The California Community Earth Models for Seismic Hazard Assessments Workshop (https://www.scec.org/workshops/2024/california-community-models) was held online March 4–5, 2024, with more than 200 participants over the two days. In this report, we provide a summary of the key points from the presentations and discussions. We highlight three use cases that drive the development of...
Authors
Brad T. Aagaard, Scott Marshall, Sarah E. Minson, Dan Boyd, Marine A. Denolle, Eric J. Fielding, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Christine A Goulet, Russell Graymer, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Alexandra Elise Hatem, Evan Tyler Hirakawa, Tran Huynh, Lorraine Hwang, Karen Luttrell, Kathryn Materna, Laurent Montesi, Michael Oskin, Arthur Rodgers, Arben Pitarka, Judy Zachariasen
Quaternary-active faults and the role of inherited structures in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, western Central Valley, northern California Quaternary-active faults and the role of inherited structures in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, western Central Valley, northern California
Seismic sources and their associated hazards within the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta region of north-central California are relatively poorly characterized as compared to other, more heavily studied regions of northern California, such as the San Francisco Bay Area. Here we present a synthesis of subsurface, bedrock geology, and geodetic datasets from the Delta and from the Coast Ranges...
Authors
Charles Cashman Trexler, Jack Willard, Belle E. Philibosian
Liquefaction timing and post-triggering seismic energy: A comparison of crustal and subduction zone earthquakes Liquefaction timing and post-triggering seismic energy: A comparison of crustal and subduction zone earthquakes
The objective of the study is to assess when liquefaction is triggered in a suite of ground motions following simplified approaches and measure the remaining post-triggering energy content of those ground motions. For liquefaction-induced deformations, current simplified analysis procedures do not directly incorporate temporal effects and rely on peak transient intensity measurements...
Authors
Trevor J. Carey, Atira Naik, Andrew James Makdisi, Henry Mason
Rupture jumping and seismic complexity in models of earthquake cycles for fault stepovers with off‐fault plasticity Rupture jumping and seismic complexity in models of earthquake cycles for fault stepovers with off‐fault plasticity
Fault stepovers are prime examples of geometric complexity in natural fault zones that may affect seismic hazard by determining whether an earthquake rupture continues propagating or abruptly stops. However, the long‐term pattern of seismicity near‐fault stepovers and underlying mechanisms of rupture jumping in the context of earthquake cycles are rarely studied. Leveraging a hybrid...
Authors
Shumon Mia, Mohamed Abdelmeguid, Ruth A. Harris, Ahmed E. Elbanna
GRACE and GRACE Follow-On gravity observations of intermediate-depth earthquakes contrasted with those of shallow events GRACE and GRACE Follow-On gravity observations of intermediate-depth earthquakes contrasted with those of shallow events
Earthquakes involve mass redistribution within the solid Earth and the ocean, and as a result, perturb the Earth's gravitational field. For most of the shallow ( 8.0, the GRACE satellite gravity measurements suggest considerable volumetric disturbance of rocks. At a spatial scale of hundreds of km, the effect of volumetric change exceeds gravity change by vertical deformation; for...
Authors
Shin-Chan Han, Jeanne Sauber, Taco Broerse, Frederick Pollitz, Emile Okal, Taehwan Jeon, Ki-Weon Seo, Richard Stanaway
Rotation of the microplates within the plate boundary in southwestern United States Rotation of the microplates within the plate boundary in southwestern United States
I investigate the long‐term, rigid motions of the 20 microplates identified by McCaffrey (2005,https://doi.org/10.1029/2004jb003307) within the Pacific‐North America plate boundary in southwestern United States. Those motions are described by the Euler vectors ( Ωi0 for the ith microplate) given by McCaffrey for each microplate. McCaffrey noticed that the Euler poles for those...
Authors
James C. Savage
Incorporating intensity distance attenuation into PLUM ground-motion-based earthquake early warning in the United States: The APPLES configuration Incorporating intensity distance attenuation into PLUM ground-motion-based earthquake early warning in the United States: The APPLES configuration
We develop Attenuated ProPagation of Local Earthquake Shaking (APPLES), a new configuration for the United States West Coast version of the Propagation of Local Undamped Motion (PLUM) earthquake early warning (EEW) algorithm that incorporates attenuation into its ground-motion prediction procedures. Under APPLES, instead of using a fixed radius to forward-predict observed peak ground...
Authors
Jessie K. Saunders, Elizabeth S. Cochran, Julian Bunn, Annemarie S. Baltay Sundstrom, Sarah E. Minson, Colin T O’Rourke
Stress-driven recurrence and precursory moment-rate surge in caldera collapse earthquakes Stress-driven recurrence and precursory moment-rate surge in caldera collapse earthquakes
Predicting the recurrence times of earthquakes and understanding the physical processes that immediately precede them are two outstanding problems in seismology. Although geodetic measurements record elastic strain accumulation, most faults have recurrence intervals longer than available measurements. Foreshocks provide the principal observations of processes before mainshocks, but...
Authors
Paul Segall, Mark V. Matthews, David R. Shelly, Taiyi Wang, Kyle R. Anderson